Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Comex Option Expiration Tomorrow - London Calling

“Perhaps it is a universal truth that the loss of liberty at home is to be charged against provisions against danger, real or pretended, from abroad.”

James Madison, letter to Thomas Jefferson, 1798

 

The big tickle in the Big Apple today is the gathering storm.

 

No, not the significance of the Greek elections, in which the people who founded democracy have emphatically said 'enough' to an oppressive austerity by the central planners of the EU and the Troika. 

 

The storm they are concerned with is the odd convergence of two storms of nature, that have sent a chill across the northeast, an impressively sudden drop in the barometer, and an approaching mass of low pressure and humidity making its way up from the southwest, scheduled to arrive late this evening.

 

I hear the NYSE is pledging to remain open tomorrow.  Since there is no storm surge to speak of, to short out the financial robots, and not many people are required to take the non-operating subways, trains, and roadways into work, it may very well be 'ok' tomorrow.

 

Do algos dream of electronic sheep?

 

The anticipated hit on the metals ahead of the option expiration on the Comex tomorrow came in on schedule, unlike the thousands of flights that are cancelling their inbound arrivals into New York and Boston.

 

Let's see if the wiseguys can continue to press their will on the global bullion markets.   The formations on the charts are not set for a trend change just yet.  There may be time to kick the can of rehypothetical reckoning down the road for yet another month.

 

Have a pleasant evening. 

 

 

 

 

SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Super-Rich 'Preparing Their Escapes'

Stocks shook off the Greek elections today, and managed to recover their earlier losses from the overnight futures and this morning, in what be called by some as a 'bit of bravado.'

 

After the bell Microsoft came out with a slight beat to inline on revenues, depending on who you asked.  But the earnings were hard to sort out with all the special charges, yada yada.  The stock was selling off after hours. 

 

Microsoft is most decidedly NOT cool again on a technical front.  Their phone operating software is a bloated pig blowing chunks, and their Surface is submerged.  Old fogies like me may still use their stuff, but it is not gaining much tractions with the younger set, except perhaps for the Xbox.  Microsoft overall is an aging monopoly, and they have not yet made the transition to profitable and sustainable growth, except for the Xbox.

 

I will not even say anything about the absurdity of much of the 'journalism' on the financial news networks today, except to note that since he left NYC as Mayor, Michael Bloomberg has been taking a very hands on, personal and detailed attention to the shape and stories offered by his news network. It is telling that he has no background in journalism at any level, and apparently not much respect for it either, since he views the news arm of his business as a means to sell more of his stock trading terminals. No wonder his TV operation has come to resemble The View for the one percent.

Be that as it may, Davos Man sees the Greeks as no threat to the status quo of Europe.  At least not for now.  But could it be that plans are being made?   As Inequality Soars, Nervous Super-Rich Already Planning Their Escapes

Speaking of escapes, I hope our café friends have been able to extricate themselves from their workplaces in the northeastern cities, to find a warm refuge from the approaching blizzard in the warmth and heart of their homes.

 

Le proprietaire and she-who-must-be-treasured are safely ensconced in the somewhat distant foothills of Metropolis, and are snuggling down for what looks to be a rather blustery 24 hours.  Coffee and bakery is being served, after a hearty entrée of home made raviolis and salads.

 

Have a pleasant evening.

 

 

 

NY Putting Subways On 'Limited Service' After 7 PM - NYC Road Traffic Ban at 11 PM

'Neither snow nor rain nor heat nor gloom of night shall stay

these criminal bankers and stock market riggers from the

swift completion of their appointed rounds.'

 

Update on Monday evening:   It appears the storm center is slipping further east, and so the worst of the storm will miss NJ and NYC.  The worst wind and snowfall will be hitting eastern Long Island and New England.   

 

-----

 

In discussing this with some friends and students of meteorology, there is still a fair amount of uncertainty about how far to the West that the major impact of this storm will go.

The problem is that the storm is fairly delineated, and a difference of 25 to 50 miles for the path of the storm center will make a significant difference for NJ and even NYC with regard to winds and snow totals.

 

But it appears that plans are proceeding, and things are being battened down for the snow and potentially damaging winds.

 

Mayor DeBlasio just announced that all non-emergency vehicles will be banned from the roadways after 11 PM.   Schools closed tomorrow.  Parks closing at 6 PM because of danger from falling branches.

 

New Jersey Transit is stopping commuter train service at 10 PM tonight.

 

--------------------------------

Andrew Cuomo

@NYGovCuomo

We urge New Yorkers to stay home and stay safe tonight. governor.ny.gov #blizzardof2015

Andrew Cuomo

@NYGovCuomo

"This is not a situation that should be taken lightly. It could be a matter of life and death. Caution is required." #blizzardof2015

Jan. 26, 2015

Andrew Cuomo

@NYGovCuomo

We are considering a travel ban on all main roads at 11pm tonight. Decision will be made at 4pm. governor.ny.gov #Blizzardof2015

Jan. 26, 2015

Andrew Cuomo

@NYGovCuomo

Update on NYC Subway system operations. There will be limited service after 7pm. #blizzardof2015 snpy.tv/15CAFD1

Jan. 26, 2015

Steven D'Souza

@cbcsteve

.@NYGovCuomo asking all non-essential state employees to leave work before 3 p.m. #blizzardof2015 #NYCblizzard

Jan. 26, 2015

Andrew Cuomo

@NYGovCuomo

There will be limited @MTA subway service after 7pm. We are anticipating closing @MetroNorth and @LIRR at 11pm. #Blizzardof2015

 

Syriza Wins Greek Election, Leader Alexis Tsipras Declares 'End to Vicious Cycle of Austerity'

This is from the live updates at The Guardian Newspaper here.

Here’s summary of a momentous election result for the future of Greece and Europe:

• The anti-austerity far left party Syriza has won the Greek election by a decisive margin, but just short of an outright majority. With more than three-quarters of the results in Syriza is projected to win 149 seats in the 300 seat parliament.


• Syriza leader Alexis Tsipras said his party’s victory marked an end to the “viscious cycle of austerity”. Referring to the neoliberal conditions set by the IMF, the European Commission and the European Central Bank, he said: “ The verdict of the Greek people renders the troika a thing of the past for our common European framework.”


• Outgoing prime minister Antonis Samaras conceded defeated by acknowledging some mistakes. But he added: “We restored Greece’s international credibility”.


• To Potami, the centre-left party could be the kingmakers in the new parliament, with a project 16 seats. Its leader Stavros Theodorakis has not ruled out a deal with Syriza. “It’s too early for such details,” he said.


• The far-right Golden Dawn party is projected to come third in election, despite having more than half of its MPs in jail. Speaking from prison its leader Nikolaos Michaloliakos said the result was a “great victory” for the neo-fascist party.


• Syriza victory has been greeted with alarm in Germany. The ruling CDU party insisting that Greece should stick to the austerity programme. But Belgium’s finance minister said there is room for negotiation with Syriza.


• Leftwingers across Europe have hailed Syriza win. Spain’s anti-austerity party Podemos said Greece finally had a government rather than a German envoy. Britain’s Green Party said Syriza’s victory was an inspiration.

Related: Greek Elections About To Call Time On Five Years of Austerity

'Historic Blizzard' For New York Metro Area, New England - 2 To 3 Feet of Snow - Updated Maps

The 'euro model' was the first to predict this, but the other models seem to be coming along to their forecast.  The euro model is still assuming a heavier snowfall in the NYC metro area, to 3 feet.  The Canadian and American models are coming along but are still assuming a move further to the east.

 

Update - The latest report from the National Weather Service shows a broad area of NY, NJ, and New England receiving 2 to 3 feet of snow with high winds.  

 

If you live in this area please keep aware of changing developments.  This *may* be a quite impressive snowstorm/blizzard depending on the air flows and storm movements.

 

Snowfall accumulations are still being estimated with two to three feet for New York City, Long Island, and New England.  Accumulations in NJ will vary depending on how far east the storm center moves before turning north.  Ranges are from 6 to 18 inches, depending on how close one is to NYC.

 

This storm Juno is bringing a weather phenomenon known as 'bombogenesis' which is defined as a drop of 24 mb in air pressure in a less than 24 hour period.  It is a 'bomb' of a low pressure system, hence the name.

 

The snow is expected to start late Monday, and continuing on growing with intensity into Tuesday afternoon, tapering off into Tuesday evening for New York City.  The storm is expected to severely hamper travel on Tuesday and possibly Wednesday.

 

"Blizzard watches have already been issued from parts of southern New England, including Boston and Providence, to New York City and northeast New Jersey. A winter storm watch is in place for the Philadelphia metro area.

.

(MORE: Blizzard Facts and Myths)

Now is the time to prepare and make sure you have the supplies you need for this potentially historic winter storm. Do not proceed with any travel plans in the affected areas late Monday and Tuesday or you could put yourself in great danger."

 

 European Model Forecast

 

 Current Official National Weather Service Forecast

 

 

 

European 'QE' In a Nutshell - Propagating the Western Trickle Down Policy Errors

This is about it in a nutshell.   'Stimulus' American style comes to Europe.

Printing money and giving it to your cronies inflates asset prices, lines the pockets of the well-heeled heels, but does little for the real economy.

 

But it doesn't produce broad inflation (or aggregate demand) so we can do it many times!    Success!

"At last the euro’s lords and masters have accepted that something must be done about their zone’s lamentable growth. They will unleash a massive bond-buying programme totalling a reported €1tn. The former BBC economic pundit Stephanie Flanders told the world it was “Santa Claus time”; the European Central Bank (ECB) has ridden to the rescue.

No it has not. Europe’s great and good, partying on the slopes of Davos, are like courtiers at the Congress of Vienna. They are blinded by snow and celebrities. Santa Claus gives presents to people; the ECB gives presents to its banks. It is merely tipping large sums of money into the vaults of precisely the institutions whose crazy lending caused the crash of 2008, and which have been failing Europe’s economy ever since.

Quantitative easing is a gigantic confidence trick. It was promised that it would yield new investment. It has not. It was promised that it would “pump money into the economy”. It has not. It was also feared that printing money would lead to hyper-inflation. It has not, for the simple reason that no one gets to spend the money. It is a bookkeeping transaction between a central bank and a commercial bank. It means nothing as long as banks are told to build up their reserves.

Money in circulation matters. The whole of Europe, including Britain, is chronically short of demand, which is why deflation is such a menace. If no one can afford to buy anything, no one will sell anything or invest money in making anything..."

Simon Jenkins, QE for the eurozone is a gigantic confidence trick. It should fool no one