19 May 2015

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Pullback


Gold and silver have been steadily rising, but today gave a piece of that up and fell back to near support.   The 1200 and 16-17 ranges have their allure.

What a surprise.
 
The dollar rallied off the 'better than expected' home starts and permits number.  Recovery!
 
There was intraday commentary about The Recovery™  here.

Have a pleasant evening.
 

 
 
 
 

SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Teen Spirit


The markets were thrilled this morning with Housing Starts and Building Permits numbers that were far above estimates, stoking hopes that the economy is recovering.

I would like to know the target market for these homes, and how many are spoken for. You'll forgive me for wondering if these are going into the speculative overhang along with the home flippers and their existing homes inventories.

Walmart missed on earnings and revenues, and in that there is a message, and a very strong one.

ETSY missed after the bell, and the stock was getting monkey hammered. So go the 'hot IPOs' of bubbledom, that come out at prices like 30, and less than a month later are under 20.

Have a pleasant evening.





Retail Store Closings and Bankruptcies - Most American Shoppers 'Broke'


"We have almost no GDP growth...We are so overdone...
More chains are going bankrupt than I've ever seen, and more stores are closing.

Half of America doesn't have any money. The financial condition of most Americans is a train wreck."

Howard Davidowitz


"People of privilege will always risk their complete destruction rather than surrender any material part of their advantage."

John Kenneth Galbraith

Howard Davidowitz is one of my favorite analysts, and a maven of the retail sector.

And he tends to tell the facts, even to those who do not want to hear them.   But he is so good at what he does, so well known and respected, that they have to let him on.

Those who are profiting from the status quo do not want change, and being completely self-absorbed do not care if there is a recovery for the rest of America.

They do not care, as long as they can keep the music playing, and the economy dancing to their tune.  They've never had it better. 

And their enablers cannot address the problems.  They will not even acknowledge that their IS a problem, because of the credibility trap.




Reich: Restore Balance, Break Up the Big Banks, Financial Transaction Tax


Hillary Clinton and her husband Bill are charter founders of the Wall St Wing of the Democratic Party. They removed one of the great counterbalances to the corporatists, and have organized political corruption into a cottage industry like Lansky and Luciano organized crime into a business.

The problem is that neither most Republicans nor many Democrats make any bones about serving Big Money first anymore. It is understood that this is how things are. Soft corruption and the revolving door is the fashion.

Mitch McConnell's new chief is a former lobbyist for Koch, for example. And the Republican presidential field is devoted to Big Money while confounding their constituents with emotional sideshows and manipulative pandering to their worst impulses and scapegoating.

Reich's ideas of reinstating Glass Steagall and a nominal Financial Transactions tax have potential. It was a mistake to repeal Glass-Steagall in the first place. I wonder who presided over that? Oh yes, Bill and Hill. And NAFTA. Everything had a price tag including the Lincoln bedroom and Presidential pardons. Very entrepreneurial.

The emphasis on the Transaction Tax should be very 'nominal' and without exemptions on professionals and institutions and 'market makers' so that the HFT crowd and raw speculation from the Banks' trading desks are the targets, and not the average investor.

I also think the Fed itself, in particular the NY Fed, should be banned from making trades in anything but the official and quasi-official bond markets. And all their public markets activity should be transparent with no more than a quarter lag.

The Congress and their staffers cannot be exempt from 'insider trading' and selling information for favors to the funds and trading desks. I mean, come on. Management of companies and the media get plenty of access to insider information as well, and they are not above the law because 'it is too hard' not to use it.

Given the regulatory capture we have today I am not optimistic about reform until there is another crisis. There are only a handful of genuine reformers, but many flavors of opportunists in sheep's clothing.

So Robert, how can you be so gung ho for reform, but so unqualifiedly endorsing the unreformed Hillary Clinton?

Why don't more Beltway and media progressives and liberals come out for Liz Warren or Bernie Sanders? Because they want reform, but cannot offer their supporters the biggest Washington payoff, which is money and power, which are the mother's milk of the politically corrupt.






18 May 2015

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Pushing up Against Resistance - Ray Dalio On Gold


The next option expiration for the precious metals on the Comex will be next Tuesday the 26th.

Gold is pushing up near overhead resistance. It would be useful if it could break out again ahead of June.

Have a pleasant evening.




 
 
 

SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Early Summer Snoozer


Stocks had an upside bias all day on a slim, lazy trade.

Watch the geopoliticals.

Have a pleasant evening.