05 August 2016

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Where the Elite Meet To Cheat


As you may recall I said last month that we would probably be seeing 'better than expected' jobs reports from now until the election. The incumbent party wants to paint a pretty recovery picture quite badly.

And the Fed would at least like the option of pulling the trigger on their likely 'one and done' interest rate increase for the year. Its either September or December.

The dollar rallied and gold took a hit, on expectations of an improving US economy and higher interest rates. We are the champions of the world it appears, and the only thing that can spoil it is one of those backwards nations in Europe or Asia. har har har dee har har.

The queen had a bit of a relapse today with a seizure caused by her recent operation, and that occupied much of my thought and time for the morning. No permanent damage done with the fall, and as for the rest of it, time heals. Luckily we will be seeing doctors and hospitals almost every day next week as they scan and probe and analyse and develop their game plans, so it looks to be a timely coincidence.

I have included the action on the deliveries which are still lively for gold, and put the warehouse data down for your viewing pleasure.

I am still in quite a bit of cash as I reduced positions dramatically ahead of the Payrolls.  Election shenanigans looked likely, and I really was not interested in chasing this market around today.  I took a little of it back but not all that much.

There was intraday figures of the Net Asset Values of the Funds.  I was clearly shopping around.  lol.  Let's see if we get a good buying opportunity and/or a clear signal of direction.

Next week might be interesting to see how these trends breakdown or break out, as the case may be.

VIX is at a twelve month low.  I wish the vehicles to play volatility in the ETF class were not such blatant sucker bets.   But there are other ways to play the risk off flip side of this sort of thing.

Have a pleasant weekend.



SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Risk On


It was risk on today as the jobs number came in much better than expected.

You may recall that I said last month that I thought that the jobs reports from then until the elections would be puffed up in order to smooth the way for Hillary.

Volatility (VIX) is at twelve month lows.   And Brexit and all the rest of it are just bad dreams.

Let's put this week in the books.

Have a pleasant weekend.








NAV Premiums of Certain Precious Metals Trusts and Funds


"Plus ça change, plus c’est la même chose."

Jean-Baptiste Alphonse Karr

Financial System Awash With Liquidity That Is Not Reaching the People in the Real Economy


"The velocity of money is the frequency at which one unit of currency is used to purchase domestically-produced goods and services within a given time period.

In other words, it is the number of times one dollar is spent to buy goods and services per unit of time. If the velocity of money is increasing, then more transactions are occurring between individuals in an economy."

St. Louis Fed


"Most of them became wealthy by being well connected and crooked. And they are creating a society in which they can commit hugely damaging economic crimes with impunity, and in which only children of the wealthy have the opportunity to become successful. That’s what I have a problem with. And I think most people agree with me."

Charles Ferguson, Predator Nation


"If the IMF’s staff could speak freely about the U.S., it would tell us what it tells all countries in this situation: recovery will fail unless we break the financial oligarchy that is blocking essential reform. And if we are to prevent a true depression, we’re running out of time."

Simon Johnson, The Quiet Coup


In other words, what we may be seeing here is a declining 'bang for the buck' or 'the law of diminishing returns' for the massive amounts of liquidity which the Fed has been selectively applying to the financial system using quantitative easing.

How can this be happening?

Does adding even more quantitative easing work?  Work for whom?

The 'recoveries' or sparks of real economic activity are growing fainter, and shorter, while the subsequent declines are continuing in length and depth.

One can hardly see the 'jumps' in velocity between the long plunges driven by helicopter drops from the Fed to the one percent, leaving the real economy and the broader public further and further behind.

At what point does the fallacy of endless money printing without consequence begin to 'bite?'

One might fear that the Fed is continuing to add fuel into and around a vehicle that is stuck in a ditch and wrapped around a telephone pole.

And all the elite financiers and their sock puppet politicians can seemingly do is to keep pouring on the gas.

There is a currency war going on.  It's perhaps unintended but very real objective is the subjugation of whole peoples, including the domestic public, to a financial and political elite.
It is the child of unrestrained greed and the concentration of power into fewer hands through through the unscrupulous manipulation of money and credit.

Although it may drape itself and its wars in the flag and pious patriotism, in a very real sense it is nationless and raceless.  

This is an audacious oligarchy that serves only their own greed and self-interest for power and money.








04 August 2016

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Respect


"Most of them became wealthy by being well connected and crooked. And they are creating a society in which they can commit hugely damaging economic crimes with impunity, and in which only children of the wealthy have the opportunity to become successful. That’s what I have a problem with. And I think most people agree with me."

Charles Ferguson, Predator Nation


“They were careless people, Tom and Daisy—they smashed up things and creatures and then retreated back into their money or their vast carelessness, or whatever it was that kept them together, and let other people clean up the mess they had made.”

F. Scott Fitzgerald, The Great Gatsby


"The wealth of another region excites their greed; and if it is weak, their lust for power as well. Nothing from the rising to the setting of the sun is enough for them. Among all others only they are compelled to attack the poor as well as the rich.

Robbery, rape, and slaughter they falsely call empire; and where they make a desert, they call it peace."

Tacitus, Agricola

Gold and silver were marking time today ahead of the Non-Farm Payrolls Report tomorrow.

It is remarkable, and surprising if you did not know how they think, how little the politicos and the professional class of the Anglo-American elite understand their own cultures and people, especially outside of the NY-Washington metroplex.

Not to mention their abysmal ignorance of and carelessness with the rest of the world when it gets in the way of their selfish desires.

People want respect. And they are not getting it.

You cannot keep giving people no choice, and expect them to keep taking it with a downcast eye and a smile.

Have a pleasant evening.













SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Rangebound Until Non-Farm Payrolls


The markets got what they expected from the Bank of England this morning,  with a 25 basis point cut, and an expansion of QE to include corporate debt.

If the financial system was not corrupt and broken this might mean something.  Alas, it is not, so it does not, except for more of the same kind of corporate debt expansion to buy back stocks, boost payouts to the one percent, and build monopolies.

So stocks continued to wind around within a relatively narrow range that has held good for the past 19 trading days.

Tomorrow we get the US Non-Farm Payrolls. An outlier either way *could* shake things up a bit.

Let's see what happens.

Have a pleasant evening.