08 August 2016

SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Sleepy Summer Days


Stocks were sleep-walking once again, with the VIX volatility index moving lower.

It has been quite some time since stocks saw a greater than 1% daily move, not since Brexit I think.

Earnings continue rolling in, and we will be getting a new macroeconomic numbers this week as noted in the calendar below.

Have a pleasant evening.





07 August 2016

Thomas Frank: The Rise of the Professional Plutocrat and the Betrayal of the Democratic Base


The Bush government of hacks and cronies was replaced by Obama's government of 'well pedigreed and highly educated'experts,' and nothing changed...  The professional class, the so-called meritocracy, have just learned to repeat all the same phrases, and are the servants of the prevailing orthodoxy.

Thomas Frank





06 August 2016

What Do You See That Frightens You? - A Light In the Darkness


So do not fear, for I am with you; do not be dismayed, for I am your God. I will strengthen you, and will help you; I will uphold you with my firm hand of righteousness.

Isaiah 41:10

"Peace I leave you; my peace I give to you, not as the world gives do I give it to you; so do not let your heart be troubled, do not let it be afraid."

John 14:27

I am frightened by the strength of evil, and the weakness of man.

If you love the Lord, as He loves you, you cannot be afraid.

For I will be with you always, even until I have led you into my Father's house.

"God has created me to do Him some definite service; He has committed some work to me which He has not committed to another. I have my mission -- I may never know it in this life but I shall be told it in the next.

I am a link in a chain, a bond of connection between persons. He has not created me for naught.

I shall do good, I shall do His work. I shall be an angel of peace, a preacher of truth in my own place while not intending it if I do but keep His commandments.

Therefore I will trust Him. Whatever I am, I can never be thrown away. If I am in sickness, my sickness may serve Him; in perplexity, my perplexity may serve Him. If I am in sorrow, my sorrow may serve Him.

He does nothing in vain. He knows what He is about.

He may take away my friends. He may throw me among strangers. He may make me feel desolate, make my spirits sink, hide my future from me -- still He knows what He is about.

We are slow to master the great truth that even now Christ is, as it were, walking among us, and by His hand, or eye, or voice, bidding us to follow Him. We do not understand that His call is a thing that takes place now. We think it took place in the Apostles' days, but we do not believe in it; we do not look for it in our own case.

Let us feel what we really are--sinners attempting great things. Let us simply obey God's will, whatever may come. He can turn all things to our eternal good. Easter day is preceded by the forty days of Lent, to show us that they only who sow in tears shall reap in joy.

The more we do, the more shall we trust in Christ; and that surely is no morose doctrine, that leads us to soothe our selfish restlessness, and forget our fears, in the vision of the Incarnate Son of God.

May the Lord support us all the day long, till the shades lengthen, and the evening comes, and the busy world is hushed, and the fever of life is over, and our work is done.

Then in His mercy may He give us a safe lodging, and a holy rest, and peace at the last.”

John Henry Newman






Caesar was swimming in blood, Rome and the whole pagan world was mad.

"But those who had had enough of transgression and madness, those who were trampled upon, those whose lives were misery and oppression, all the weighed down, all the sad, all the unfortunate, came to hear the wonderful tidings of God, who out of love for men had given Himself to be crucified and redeem their sins.

When they found a God whom they could love, they had found that which the society of the time could not give any one, -- happiness and love."

Henryk Sienkiewicz, Quo Vadis, 1905

05 August 2016

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Where the Elite Meet To Cheat


As you may recall I said last month that we would probably be seeing 'better than expected' jobs reports from now until the election. The incumbent party wants to paint a pretty recovery picture quite badly.

And the Fed would at least like the option of pulling the trigger on their likely 'one and done' interest rate increase for the year. Its either September or December.

The dollar rallied and gold took a hit, on expectations of an improving US economy and higher interest rates. We are the champions of the world it appears, and the only thing that can spoil it is one of those backwards nations in Europe or Asia. har har har dee har har.

The queen had a bit of a relapse today with a seizure caused by her recent operation, and that occupied much of my thought and time for the morning. No permanent damage done with the fall, and as for the rest of it, time heals. Luckily we will be seeing doctors and hospitals almost every day next week as they scan and probe and analyse and develop their game plans, so it looks to be a timely coincidence.

I have included the action on the deliveries which are still lively for gold, and put the warehouse data down for your viewing pleasure.

I am still in quite a bit of cash as I reduced positions dramatically ahead of the Payrolls.  Election shenanigans looked likely, and I really was not interested in chasing this market around today.  I took a little of it back but not all that much.

There was intraday figures of the Net Asset Values of the Funds.  I was clearly shopping around.  lol.  Let's see if we get a good buying opportunity and/or a clear signal of direction.

Next week might be interesting to see how these trends breakdown or break out, as the case may be.

VIX is at a twelve month low.  I wish the vehicles to play volatility in the ETF class were not such blatant sucker bets.   But there are other ways to play the risk off flip side of this sort of thing.

Have a pleasant weekend.



SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Risk On


It was risk on today as the jobs number came in much better than expected.

You may recall that I said last month that I thought that the jobs reports from then until the elections would be puffed up in order to smooth the way for Hillary.

Volatility (VIX) is at twelve month lows.   And Brexit and all the rest of it are just bad dreams.

Let's put this week in the books.

Have a pleasant weekend.








NAV Premiums of Certain Precious Metals Trusts and Funds


"Plus ça change, plus c’est la même chose."

Jean-Baptiste Alphonse Karr