18 October 2010

SP 500 and NDX December Futures Daily Charts


The tech futures NDX were selling off hard after hours as AAPL and IBM failed to delight investors with their earnings reports, after having gone to new parabolic highs during regular trading hours. This could be an instance of Buy the Rumour and Sell the News.

However the pattern seems to be a sell off at night, with a steady short squeeze starting in the first hour of trade lasting all day. Let's see if the pattern of market manipulation is finally broken tomorrow.






SP 500 December Futures Intra-Day And General Comments


The market is playing around with these consolidation patterns that start off with a dire overnight trade, that gives way to an intra-day rally and a squeezing of the shorts.

Artificial to be sure, but likely to continue until something happens to stop it. It is unlikely that the government will intervene ahead of an election and in a fragile economy to stop the inflation of an obvious bubble. To the contrary, they are most likely deeply complicit.

This provides emphasis to our caution of waiting for a downturn to develop rather than trying to get in ahead of it. You will just feed the speculative increase.

The more the Fed and Treasury debase the global fiat currency, the higher gold and silver will rise.

"The world will soon wake up to the reality that everyone is broke and can collect nothing from the bankrupt, who are owed unlimited amounts by the insolvent, who are attempting to make late payments on a bank holiday in the wrong country, with an unacceptable currency, against defaulted collateral, of which nobody is sure who holds title."

If the model of the former Soviet Union (empire) holds, at some point the oligarchs will start seizing hard and income producing assets for themselves using their command of fraudulent paper and a corrupt system of governance. This may already be underway when the Congress gave in to the Bankers' threats and passed TARP. I have heard that Wall Street will be taking about 8 percent of M1 as its bonus this year, despite being bailed out at enormous costs, both explicit and hidden, to the American public. Bernanke is transferring over a trillion dollars in interest earnings from savers, institutions, and retirees to Wall Street through this quantitative easing without reform and restructuring.

At some point this may erupt into a crisis with a resolution, but in the meantime it will continue to spread slowly like a wasting disease, concentrating more real wealth and assets in the hands of the politically well-connected few.

Obama is more like a business friendly Herbert Hoover than a reforming Franklin Roosevelt, and this lack of will and a vision forged by determined accomplishment against suffering, moral courage and certitude if you will, is his tragic flaw and America's misfortune.


15 October 2010

Gold and SP 500 and NDX December Futures Daily Charts



Climbing a trellis of support and resistance...


Richard Russell last night on gold…

"Today I am taking the same stand regarding the gold bull market. The gold bull market will not end with a fizzle and a whimper. It will end with intense speculation and widespread interest from the funds and the public. We haven't seen that kind of activity yet, but I'm convinced that a period of wild speculation in gold lies somewhere ahead.

This is why I continue to beg my subscribers to load up with gold. As I see it, we are nearing a period of intense speculation that will be beyond anything seen before by the last three generations of Americans. Ironically, more money made in the final explosion in gold than was made during the first two phases combined.

Great bull market are seen maybe once or twice in a lifetime. The current "stealth" gold bull market has sneaked up on most Americans. The very phrase, "gold bull market" is sneered at by most analysts today. In fact, most of the comments on gold today come in the form of warnings; "Gold is too high." "Gold is in a bubble." "Gold will sink back below 1000." "Gold is a fool's play."

Nonsense. Gold is moving ever-closer to it's climactic speculative third phase. The negative comments about gold will only serve to make the gold bull market that much stronger. In this business, there is nothing more powerful than a primary bull market that has been denigrated, spat at, and held back for years.

And that's the end of my "lecture" about the fabulous gold bull market…"




"...the world will soon wake up to the reality that everyone is broke and can collect nothing from the bankrupt, who are owed unlimited amounts by the insolvent, who are attempting to make late payment on a bank holiday in the wrong country, with an unacceptable currency, against defaulted collateral, of which nobody is sure who holds title."

Bill Dudley Administers QE II to Wall Street While Ben Advises (And Timmy Helps)




Pulp Fiction Adrenaline Shot

John Travolta ................ Bill Dudley, Governor, NY Fed
Eric Stoltz ..................... Ben S. Bernanke
Uma Thurman ................TBTF Wall Street Bank
Rosanna Arquette ............Timmy