08 April 2015

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Profiles In Hypocrisy, In the Garden of Beasts


"The only vice that cannot be forgiven is hypocrisy. The repentance of a hypocrite is itself hypocrisy."

William Hazlitt


"The U.S. went off the gold standard in August 1971. With no benchmark, central banks could print money and debase currencies. That opened the door for huge bailouts after big banks screwed up in a big way. Taxpayers—not incompetent bankers—paid the price.

By [the late 1980’s], the Federal Reserve Bank and large U.S. banks had established a pattern to control the public relations damage each time banks had a major screw-up: accountants and regulators let banks lie about the size of the problem to stall for time; the Federal Reserve blew smoke at the media; finally, the Fed would bail out the banks in a way that most taxpayers would not understand.

Banks didn’t have to get smarter or more competent. The Fed trained the banks that uninformed taxpayers would eat the losses, and fake accounting would let bank officers keep their positions and their money."

Janet Tavakoli, Decisions: Life and Death on Wall Street

Gold and silver were pushed back to their assigned round numbers, with gold barely holding above 1200 and silver pushed well below the 17 handle.

Ted Butler has a rather striking piece about the rigging in the silver market which you can read here.

Speaking of silver it appears that Turkey had record imports of silver bullion in March. You can read about that here. I am not sure how significant that is. We can certainly keep an eye on it to see if this is a one time thing or a trend.

 Thoughts of silver drachmas and dirhams come to mind, but it is most likely improbably premature. Still, this is a currency war and things seem to be building to a reckoning of sorts.  Who can say what desperate people might do to end repression?

Nothing really happened at the Bucket Shop on the Hudson.  A few contracts of silver were claimed, and inventory was shoved around the plate in the warehouses.  The real action is taking place in the Mideast and Asia.

We have become a coarse and careless people, smugly confident in our 'Exceptionalism.'   We are no longer shocked about lies, but instead critique the style and performance of the liars, and try to emulate them in our own professions.  
How can we not cringe at some of the more shocking abuses that pass for generally acceptable behavior in public figures these days?  And we encourage it, by both our silence and our acceptance.
Oh yes, we recoil in horror at any kind of sex, at the human form, with great puritanical umbrage, but stealing and cheating, and abusing the poor and the defenseless in even the most petty and vicious ways is looked upon with admiration, because we are in love with power. 
Power is our new golden calf.   Even some so-called 'reformers' are falling all over themselves at a chance to move near the circles of power, to have influence, to be seen as connected.   All we seem to want is to get paid, to get ahead, to 'win.'
Hypocrites!

And the example of our cultural and societal icons are certainly leading to a general corrosion of all morals and civilities.  And that is a shame, which eventually will have significant repercussions and consequences for us as a people and a society. 
Where will we finally draw the line and come to our senses?  How far are we willing to go?  How many crimes and abuses, how much theft and torture are we willing to overlook?   Why do we allow our society to be defined by sociopaths?  
When will we finally look about, and see that we too, despite all our smug superiority, have created our own garden of beasts?

Have a pleasant evening.




"Hobbes had argued the need for a despot because men were like beasts; Townsend insisted that they (people) were actually beasts and that, precisely for that reason, only a minimum of government was required. From this novel point of view, a free society could be regarded as consisting of two races: property owners and laborers. The number of the latter was limited by the amount of food; and as long as property was safe, hunger would drive them to work. No magistrates were necessary, for hunger was a better disciplinarian than the magistrate...

The paradigm of the goats and the dogs seemed to offer an answer. The biological nature of man appeared as the given foundation of a society that was not of a political order. Thus it came to pass that economists presently relinquished Adam Smith's humanistic foundations, and incorporated those of Townsend...Economic society had emerged as distinct from the political state...

To the politician and administrator laissez-faire was simply a principle of the insurance of law and order, with the minimum cost and effort. Let the market be given charge of the poor, and things will look after themselves...

What induced orthodox economics to seek its foundations in naturalism was the otherwise inexplicable misery of the great mass of the producers which, as we know today, could never have been deduced from the laws of the old market. But the facts as they appeared to contemporaries were roughly these: in times past the laboring people had habitually lived on the brink of indigence (at least, if one accounted for changing levels of customary standards); since the coming of the machine they had certainly never risen above subsistence level; and now that the economic society was finally taking shape, it was an indubitable fact that decade after decade the material level of existence of the laboring poor was not improving a jot, if, indeed, it was not becoming worse...

The acceptance of near-indigency of the mass of the citizens as the price to be paid for the highest stage of prosperity was accompanied by very different human attitudes. Townsend righted his emotional balance by indulging in prejudice and sentimentalism. The improvidence (lacking personal responsibility) of the poor was a law of nature, for servile, sordid, and ignoble work would otherwise not be done. (born to be vile?) Also what would become of the fatherland unless we could rely on the poor? "For what is it but distress and poverty which can prevail upon the lower classes of the people to encounter all the horrors which await them on the tempestuous ocean or on the field of battle?"...

Robert Owen, in 1817, described the course on which Western man had entered and his words summed up the problem of the coming century...The organization of the whole of society on the principle of gain and profit must have far-reaching results. He formulated these results in terms of human character. For the most obvious effect of the new institutional system was the destruction of the traditional character of settled populations and their transmutation into a new type of people, migratory, nomadic, lacking in self-respect and discipline—crude, callous beings...  

Karl Polanyi, The Great Transformation

SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Buddy Can You Spare a Crime?



"There is felt today very widely the inconsistency in this condition of political democracy and industrial absolutism.

The people are beginning to doubt whether in the long run democracy and absolutism can coexist in the same community; beginning to doubt whether there is a justification for the great inequalities in the distribution of wealth, for the rapid creation of fortunes, more mysterious than the deeds of Aladdin’s lamp...

Our government teaches the whole people by its example. If the government becomes the lawbreaker, it breeds contempt for law; it invites every man to become a law unto himself; it invites anarchy."

Louis D. Brandeis 

Markets held on to some minor gains on light volumes.

It is interesting how blithely the financiers and their engineers at the Fed and their courtiers in the government are taking us into one of the worst earnings seasons since 2009 with equity and bond valuations at bubble levels.
 
Or just another cynical turn of the screws on the middle class?
 
Is there is a single Western financial asset market left with some level of price discovery and integrity?  
 
Is it that they have no sense, or no shame?  Are they sociopaths?  Have they killed their conscience, and turned their very hearts to stone?
 
Is there anyone in a leadership position who cares about the legacy we are leaving for our grandchildren?

Or at least more than they worry about how much plunder they can pile into their own bunkers before the financial system implodes again?
 
What are they thinking?  Do they think that there will be no reckoning for their crimes?  Ever? 
 
I seriously wonder if there is not a kind of madness sweeping the privileged and the powerful, those who imagine themselves to be exceptional, to be above the law. 
 
Have a pleasant evening.


 
 
 

Butler: J'Accuse - Market Rigging in the Wheat Market, and in Silver

 

"What is truth? said jesting Pilate, and would not stay for an answer."

Francis Bacon

This is an excerpt from a much long article posted by Ted Butler at SilverSeek here.

I read Ted's columns each week at his subscription site.  I am glad that he was kind enough to make this one public.

There was little mention in the media of the case against Kraft, which was caught rigging the wheat market.   The parallels with other instances of market rigging are noted by Ted, and he asks the obvious question, 'Why the selective enforcement of the laws?'

Indeed.  It may have quite a bit to do with the credibility trap.  Once bureaucrats and politicians get involved in dirty dealings, their co-conspirators have often used the threat of disclosure to take them along for a much longer ride.  And it is easy to rationalize official silence in the face of injustice for the sake of careers.  And then leave office and take a high paying sinecure with the very industry that they had been paid to oversee.
 
When the precious metals markets dislocate, or 'blow up' in the vernacular, the economists and other very serious hypocrites will say that no one could have seen it coming.   Or blame it on some unrelated scapegoat.  Or crazy misguided goldbugs.   The same way they tried to blame the financial collapse following the housing bubble on the government and homeowners.  No one can see anything in this kleptocracy.
 
And they are right.  You can't see anything coming when you keep averting your gaze and closing your eyes to it.
 
An Unavoidable Comparison
Theodore Butler
April 7, 2015

"Importantly, the Commission’s case against Kraft most likely came as a result of a complaint from a disgruntled insider who was damaged by Kraft’s futures market activity and not as a result of widespread complaints or damage to the public. To my knowledge, this was not a case publicly discussed prior to the charges being filed. Compare that to silver, where many thousands of market participants and observers have petitioned the agency for years about the manipulation by JPMorgan and where investors and silver producers have been and are being damaged by artificially depressed silver prices.

The unmistakable conclusion is that this agency is bought and paid for or otherwise not acting in the public’s best interest. For a federal agency, I don’t think there is a more serious allegation.

So the real question is why the selective prosecution of the law? Why is the CFTC going after Kraft on a complicated case with an alleged payoff that looks like chump change (around $5 million total profit to Kraft), when public data indicate JPMorgan shorts the silver market whenever prices rise to cap and drive prices lower in order to profit on those short sales and accumulate silver at unfairly low prices; with JPM’s cumulative illicit take running into the hundreds of millions if not billions of dollars?

I can see the agency going after Kraft, but I can’t see any legitimate reason for it not to go after JPMorgan for the far more egregious silver activities the bank is involved in. Worse, why won’t the agency explain why the public data doesn’t point to JPMorgan doing what I allege the bank is doing? Can the Commission refute that JPMorgan has been the big concentrated short seller in COMEX silver futures since acquiring Bear Stearns in early 2008 and has been accumulating physical silver while remaining short COMEX futures for the past four years? That’s the key, no one - not the CFTC, not JPMorgan, not the CME – can offer a reasonable explanation for JPM’s control and manipulation of the silver market and what has transpired these past seven years...

The problem with selective enforcement of the law is that it undermines and makes a mockery of the whole system. It is a betrayal of the highest order. Yes, I’m fairly sure that the free pass to JPMorgan to allow it to continue the silver manipulation was given by Treasury and Federal Reserve officials to preserve market order and was considered to be to the public’s benefit. But look at what it has morphed into seven years later – a market more distorted than ever before and in which JPMorgan has amassed the largest hoard of silver in history."

NAV Premiums of Certain Precious Metal Trusts and Funds


There has been quite a bit of silver bullion activity in imports to Turkey as noted here.

Otherwise the action at the bucket shop on the Hudson has been the same old same old.

Premiums are dampened as usual.


07 April 2015

Turkish Silver Imports Surge to Record High In March - Of Dirhams and Drachmas

 
 
Imports of silver bullion into Turkey surged to the highest level since at least 1999 in March.
 
There was no similar surge in gold.   So this seems to be particular to silver.

I do not wish to make too much of it, unless we see this trend continue. 

And if so, then thoughts of silver dirhams or drachmas may begin to come to mind.
 
Charts are from data wrangler Nick Laird at Sharelynx.com.
 
 
 


 

Decisions: Life and Death on Wall Street

 
"The U.S. went off the gold standard in August 1971. With no benchmark, central banks could print money and debase currencies. That opened the door for huge bailouts after big banks screwed up in a big way. Taxpayers—not incompetent bankers—paid the price."

Janet Tavakoli, Decisions: Life and Death on Wall Street

I have just started reading a new book by Janet Tavakoli called Decisions:  Life and Death on Wall Street. 
 
There is also a paperback version of it here.  It is available in the US, UK and most of continental Europe, but oddly not Canada, Australia or India.

I have known her as a subject matter expert on derivatives to whom I have turned for knowledge now and then over the years, and always found her to be exceptionally straightforward and helpful.
 
This is a non-fiction story of her travels in the world of finance that asks the question, 'What would you be willing to do for money and power?'   Given the times, it might be more to the point to ask what people would not be willing to do.
 
As usual Janet does not pull her punches.  The description on Amazon is rather intriguing.  

In New York, the Federal Reserve Bank hides damaging information about too-big-too-fail banks from the public eye. A prominent bank CEO seems on the verge of a nervous breakdown.

In Washington D.C., a former Wall Street regulator checks into a hotel using the name of a hedge fund manager for an illicit meeting with a prostitute. In a D.C. suburb, the CFO of a beleaguered mortgage giant chooses a drastic personal end to "relentless pressure".

In a picturesque suburb of Zug, Switzerland, the CFO of a major insurance company decides to end his life. In London, a financier kills himself in a way he once said he never would.

In her new memoir, Janet Tavakoli shines a bright light on the money-driven culture of Wall Street and Washington, and the life and death consequences of our decisions that put profit above all.


"The U.S. went off the gold standard in August 1971. With no benchmark, central banks could print money and debase currencies. That opened the door for huge bailouts after big banks screwed up in a big way. Taxpayers—not incompetent bankers—paid the price.

By [the late 1980’s], the Federal Reserve Bank and large U.S. banks had established a pattern to control the public relations damage each time banks had a major screw-up: accountants and regulators let banks lie about the size of the problem to stall for time; the Federal Reserve blew smoke at the media; finally, the Fed would bail out the banks in a way that most taxpayers would not understand.

Banks didn’t have to get smarter or more competent. The Fed trained the banks that uninformed taxpayers would eat the losses, and fake accounting would let bank officers keep their positions and their money."

If 'rule under law' were more than just a slogan in the United States, men who occupied the senior-most positions in too-big-to-fail banks would have been disgraced, prosecuted, and jailed. But no bank executive was held accountable."


Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Failing Policies of the Financial Engineers


"The enormous gap between what US leaders do in the world and what Americans think their leaders are doing is one of the great propaganda accomplishments of the dominant political mythology."

Michael Parenti

Gold and silver marked time today, digesting their recent gains.
 
But they are also being held to the 'round numbers' of 1200 and 17.   This is perception management.
 
The economic establishment and their Federal Reserve are failing, and badly.  They are frightened, but do not know what to do, and so they keep doing the same things, over and over.
 
Their failures are the direct result of intellectual dishonest and systematic injustice.  The credibility trap has them bound to policy failures that somewhat ironically will bring them down.
 
They have lied so often that one wonders if they can even understand the truth.  They certainly put enough pressure on keeping anyone of note from dissenting against their madness and their lies.
 
The only thing exceptional about the West is their exceptional self-delusion about their own goodness and secure position on the moral high ground of history.    
 
Have a pleasant evening.