22 October 2018

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Skittish - The Quiet Coup


"I am not so optimistic that this reform is possible, because there has in fact been a soft coup d'etat in the US, which now exists in a state of crony corporatism that wields enormous influence over the media and within the government.

Let's be clear about this, the oligarchs are flush with victory, and feel that they are firmly in control, able to subvert and direct any popular movement to the support of their own fascist ends and unslakable will to power.

This is the contempt in which they hold the majority of American people and the political process: the common people are easily led fools, and everyone else who is smart enough to know better has their price. And they would beggar every middle class voter in the US before they will voluntarily give up one dime of their ill gotten gains.

But my model says that the oligarchs will continue to press their advantages, being flushed with victory, until they provoke a strong reaction that frightens everyone, like a wake up call, and the tide then turns to genuine reform."

Simon Johnson, The Quiet Coup, August 2010

Stocks were a bit weak today, having opened quite a bit lower than Friday's close in the futures market.

Jitters over the Chinese economy were the putative cause in spokesmodel land.

Gold and silver were off a bit on a stronger US Dollar as shown in the chart below. The DX Index is topping 96.

There will be a gold option expiration this week on Thursday the 25th.

Looking at the chart below, I remind you of the active role that both Bill Clinton and Barack Obama played in consummating what had been a trend to turn away from The New Deal and the working class since the 1970's, in partnership with the Republicans and their traditional supporters amongst the affluent professional class, aka the highly credentialed 'winners.'

Have a pleasant evening.






Physical Gold Flowing Steadily Out of the US


Exhaustible supply meets seemingly insatiable demand.

There is a sea change underway in the global monetary regime that has been in place since the 1971, and the unilateral abandonment of the gold standard by Richard Nixon.   This current evolution is a major historic event, and as such, happens slowly for a very long time, and then all of a sudden, catching most by surprise.

The 'gold float' is the available physical supply at anywhere near current prices held primarily in the US and the UK for export to Asian Demand.

When the 'float' is exhausted higher prices, likely much higher, will be required to free up existing inventory held by strong hands and official sources.

History suggests that when the physical supply float collapses, and that information becomes known generally by markets, the gold pricing pool will also collapse, and suddenly so, because of the pyramid of leverage that is being shakily maintained.

The pool, the great gold pricing manipulation game, will continue until it can no longer be sustained.

Gold is being treated and traded as if it is just another currency, and is managed for all the reasons that currency prices are managed in a fiat monetary regime managed by central banks.

Unfortunately for them they can only 'create' gold through leverage and non-transparency.


21 October 2018

Weekly Gold and Silver Flows In Funds and ETFs


Flowing, from West to East.

We seem to have indications of a durable bottom being formed.

Let's see if that trend continues.




Funny Finance, or How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Banks



Who could have seen it coming?




When Economic Models Meet Reality




The Mispricing of Risk




Innovation in Financial Products




Aftermath of a Financial Bubble 




Allocating Precious Liquidity