20 June 2010

SP Futures Up Sharply on 'Hopes of Chinese Yuan Strengthening'

While the SP 500 stock futures are indeed up about 15 handles, you'll forgive me if it seems like the rationale for this rally at a key resistance point is as thin as its volumes, or the integrity of its governance, and as contrived as the great reformer himself.

It looks like a fade, but we'll have to wait for tomorrow. Sometimes the trading desks and hedge funds like to probe higher in thin trade to find out where the stops are, and their position size, to determine the cost of a breakout, or a breakdown. You know, like the flash crash which the US capital allocation system most recently enjoyed.

US STOCKS-S&P futures surge at open after China's yuan move
Sun Jun 20, 2010 6:14pm EDT

NEW YORK June 20 (Reuters) - S&P 500 stock index futures rose sharply at the start of trade on Sunday as investors bet China's announcement over the weekend to make the yuan more flexible will lift sales at U.S. multinationals over the long-term.

The rise suggests indexes will open higher on Monday and follows a strong start of trade for the Australian dollar and euro as China's move signals more yuan appreciation and was taken as a vote of confidence in the global economic recovery's staying power.

The revaluation will effectively increase the purchasing power of Chinese buyers and "the best bet would be for commodity-based companies and consumer goods companies," said Tom Sowanick, chief investment officer at Omnivest Group in Princeton, New Jersey earlier on Sunday.

S&P 500 futures SPc1 jumped 13.80 points to 1123.90 and were well above fair value, a formula that evaluates pricing by taking into account interest rates, dividends and time to expiration on the contract.