Jesse's Café Américain

“Some economists, when thinking about long memory, are concerned that it undercuts the Efficient Market Hypothesis that prices fully reflect all relevant information; that the random walk is the best metaphor to describe such markets; and that you cannot beat such an unpredictable market. Well, the Efficient Market Hypothesis is no more than that, a hypothesis. Many a grand theory has died under the onslaught of real data.” Benoît B. Mandelbrot

Showing posts with label Fed. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Fed. Show all posts
17 February 2009

St. Louis Fed Chief Says Fed Must Inflate Money Supply More Aggressively

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Considering the AMB and the narrow money figures went parabolic, with the greatest increase in Fed history, these are somewhat unusual words...
12 November 2008

Congressman Asks Fed to Stop Ignoring Requests for Transparency

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Bloomberg Boehner Demands Fed Identify Recipients of Loans By Laura Litvan Nov. 12 - House Republican leader John Boehner called for the Fe...
23 December 2007

Recessions and the SP 500

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Paul Kasriel's latest reading of his proprietary tea leaves (a blend known as the Kasriel Recession Warning Indicator) estimates the cur...
08 December 2007

Recession: Straight Up, With a Twist

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There is a significant debate going on in economic and financial circles about the odds for a recession in the United States in 2008. In fac...
01 December 2007

Professor Marvel Never Guesses. He Knows!

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I s it likely that a fresh look at the economic data had Ben Bernanke and Don Kohn doing a sharp about face on the balance of risks to th...
28 November 2007

Citizen Kohn

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US equity markets just had the largest two day rally in the last four years. The trigger for this rally, besides the happy coincidence of a...
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