27 March 2011

WSJ Critiques the Danger of Regulatory Weakness in the Japan Nuclear Industry



The Wall Street Journal has a story that points out the dangers of ownership of the industry which they are charged to regulate.

TOKYO—Japan's nuclear regulator has amassed power while growing closer to the industry it regulates, according to former regulators and industry critics who blame the trend for lapses that may have contributed to the Fukushima Daiichi accident.

Bucking the global standard, Japan's Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry has two distinct and often competing roles: regulating the nuclear power industry, and promoting Japanese nuclear technology at home and abroad.

The setup recalls U.S. regulation of offshore drilling before last year's oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico, in which the same agency regulated the industry and promoted offshore oil-and- gas development.

Nuclear Regulator Tied to Industry

In the States, the most powerful banking regulator is the the Fed, which is essentially OWNED by the industry which it purports to regulate. And the last time I looked, the WSJ was part of the choir singing the praises of self regulation of the various segments of the financial sector, taking every opportunity to undermine independent regulation.

And they probably do not get it. You just have to laugh at this kind of irony.

Well, derivatives are a bit like radiation, something resembling a neutron bomb. They kill off the life in a society, while leaving the buildings intact.

Speaking of the extended analogy, Radioactivity 100,000 Times Normal at Fukushima Reactor 2. The good news is that it is not 10 million times normal as reported by TEPCO earlier today.

Reminds one of the recent report on the US banks by the Fed.

US Employment and Wages, Modern Monetary Theory, Trade, and Financial Reform



There will be a sustainable recovery in the US when the median wage recovers in relation to inflation and consumer necessities, and the employment-population ratio rises to some reasonable equilibrium.

A rising employment-population ratio itself is no sign of recovery, if consumers must continue to rely on debt to finance their basic necessities. Conservsely, a falling employment-population ratio can be constructive if it is driven by a vibrant median wage, increasing industrial productivity, and excess income as savings, allowing for retirements and more people devoted to non formal employment such as charitable activities, parenting, artistic expression, and elder care, for example.   The point is that these measure are not one-dimensional.

As shown by the median wage below, the 'recovery' engineered by the Fed in the aftermath of the tech bubble they created was artificial and totally supported by credit creation and a bubble in housing, with enormous amounts siphoned off the top in the form of financial fraud and corruption.

The basic economic problem in the US economy is related to international trade, currency manipulation, public policy and wage arbitrage by multinational corporations. 'Free trade' interacts with public standards of health, worker compensation, environmental, child labor, and the entire structure of public standards.

Therefore the solution is not amenable to straightforward Keynesian stimulus. This is no cyclical contraction.

It has its roots in the conflict between 'free trade' amongst nations with different standards towards their workers, and various forms of governance.   A democratic republic and a autocratic dictatorship do not have the same  public policies and attitudes towards the individual and their rights vis a vis the state.  How then can free trade reconcile fair wages with what is by comparison virtual slavery?  These are the economics of 'the camps' and the plantations, a familiar attraction for the monied interests who have an abiding love of monopolies and oligarchies. 

And of course the unspoken problem in the US is the pervasive corruption in and overweighting of the financial sector in relation to the productive economy even today after so-called reforms.

On another note, there is renewed discussion of 'Modern Monetary Theory,' and some have asked me again to address this, as I have done previously.  I have only this to add.

I see no inherent problem with the direct issuance of non-debt backed currency as there is sufficient evidence that it can 'work.' Indeed, my own Jacksonian bias toward central banking would suggest that.
I think the notion that the Fed is some objective judge of what is best for the public welfare without effective oversight or restraint is anti-democratic and probably un-Constitutional, at least in spirit, as it has been implemented. And this notion that the FED and the discipline of the interest markets could reliably emulate an external restraint on excessive money creation is deeply flawed.

The problem becomes then how to implement a fiat currency without the discipline of issuing debt through private markets.

This is the important point that most MMT adherents seem to ignore, but it is their greatest area of strength.

One cannot print money at will. The limitation is always and everywhere the willingness of the markets to accept it in exchange for labor and real goods without coercion. To make counter claims is to undermine your own position.

It is a tautology to say that a state that controls its own fiat currency cannot become insolvent in that currency, since they can never lack that which they can create from nothing. The state does not run out of its currency, rather, it runs out of people who will accept it at the official face value.

I would stipulate that central currency issuers can attempt to set arbitrary values, and to enforce them through things like official valuation and wage and price controls. Indeed, practical experience seems to indeed they inevitably must and will become increasingly draconian in their central planning. Dictatorships generally embrace fiat monetary systems without external discipline as policy, but rarely is this a sign of a vibrant economy or a government that respects the individual's rights to just recompense for goods and labor.

The problem with limitless issuance would first appear with necessities that the state must acquire externally, that is, outside their direct sphere of political control. In the case of the United States, for example, oil comes to mind.

I am not suggesting a retur to a gold or silver monetary standard, for that too has its weaknesses and is no panacea. But rather, I am addressing the particular overstatements being made by those who promote the Fed, and those who promote the Treasury, as infallible arbiters of monetary value.

Transparency, oversight, checks and balances are the inherent genius of of the Constitution, and anything that weakens those pillers undermines the democratic Republic.

Most fiat currencies inevitably fail, without regard to their particular mechanisms, because of the weakness and corruption of the people who manage them. This the hard truth that no amount of accounting gimmicks and Utopian central planning can overcome. Such schemes spawn tyranny from their nature, since like a Ponzi scheme they require an ever expanding sphere of absolute control over the daily transactions of the public.

If the inherent evil contained in the concentration of power in a few hands in your concern, then Modern Monetary Theory does not seem to be a viable solution, replacing the Fed with the Treasury, and potentially one form of monetary tyranny with another.



26 March 2011

Emergency Unlimited FDIC Coverage Extended to Clearing Accounts Until 2013


Someone brought this to my attention, as I had not heard of it. It is not so much what they are doing, but why now?

With recovery supposedly at hand, and the financial crisis over thanks to Ben and Timmy, I wonder why they would enact unlimited FDIC coverage for what sounds like checking accounts and commercial clearing accounts.

The only thing that occurred to me was that in the event of a bank run, it might be intended to prevent another short term credit seizure such as was experienced in the financial crisis.

But why now? And why use FDIC to do take on this unlimited liability, far in excess of what it was intended to do? I doubt very much that this is designed to protect individuals per se, given the exclusions.

Curious. Perhaps I am missing something here.

Temporary Unlimited Coverage for Noninterest-bearing Transaction Accounts - FDIC

From December 31, 2010 through December 31, 2012, all noninterest-bearing transaction accounts are fully insured, regardless of the balance of the account and the ownership capacity of the funds. This coverage is available to all depositors, including consumers, businesses, and government entities. The unlimited coverage is separate from, and in addition to, the insurance coverage provided for a depositor’s other accounts held at an FDIC-insured bank.

A noninterest-bearing transaction account is a deposit account where:

interest is neither accrued nor paid;
depositors are permitted to make an unlimited number of transfers and withdrawals; and
the bank does not reserve the right to require advance notice of an intended withdrawal.

Note: Money Market Deposit Accounts (MMDAs) and Negotiable Order of Withdrawal (NOW) accounts are not eligible for this temporary unlimited insurance coverage, regardless of the interest rate, even if no interest is paid. (lol)

Later - here is an old description that probably fits the bill:
"The FDIC's action is one aspect of its Temporary Liquidity Guarantee Program (TLGP). The full account coverage is aimed primarily at business accounts that need to keep larger balances for covering payrolls and meeting other business needs, but it extends to all non-interest-bearing transaction accounts, whether they are held by businesses or by individuals and households. The FDIC's goal is to help depository institutions retain such accounts, giving small and medium size businesses a reason to keep their balances with their current financial institutions. That would help the institutions maintain their liquidity, and thus enhance their ability to make loans."

Unlimited FDIC Coverage for Checking Accounts - Banking Questions
So it is a measure to prevent another seizure in the credit system in the event of a major bank failure triggering a financial crisis. Do you think it covered JPM's $22 billion bridge loan to AT&T for its purchase of T-Mobile?

Do you think Goldman has a program to sweep all of their funds and their partners' personal money into accounts such as this at the first sign of trouble? Just as GE pays no taxes, expect Wall Street to take no pain, in the very troubles which they have caused.

As an aside, I would have used the FDIC and the government to backstop 100% of all customer money in the banking crisis, and let the banks themselves go through a debt reorganization, taking the executives, bondholders and shareholders to the woodshed, in the manner in which Sweden had dealt with its banking troubles. In the US, UK, and Ireland we saw the opposite approach: save the banks, and the people be damned.

But then again, I am not a major contributor to the campaign coffers of Washington, nor a member of the old boy network, and chances are, neither are you. So there you are.

As bad as this has been, if you think the worst is over you are probably just being wishful, maybe a little naive. There is still some meat on your bones, and the wolves are insatiable.

AGI News
IMF TO SET UP 580 BILLION DOLLAR ANTICRISIS FUND
Chiudi 09:45 25 MAR 2011

(AGI) Washington - The International Monetary Fund will set up, next week, a 580 billion Dollar anticrisis fund. "The greatest concern is the risk of contagion from Portugal," says a well informed source. IMF's top officer, Dominique Strauss-Kahn, will issue the fund, on the basis of the ratification announced on March 11 by the Nab (New Arrangement to Borrow). Last year, the Nab increased 10 times its initial 53 billion Dollars, thanks to the 13 new member countries.