10 August 2011

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Gold Shorts Were Being Carried Out on Stretchers



Gold has had a remarkable run higher. It has reached the point now where an additional rally without at least a consolidation starts to approach a breakaway run, something with a bigger correction in its future. So I would welcome a pause for the market to at least catch its breath and attract some stability.

Silver needs to go much further to catch up. Even though it has rallied it is still a bit weaker after having gone parabolic and then corrected so violently.

I suspect that at some point the equity markets will find their footing. Typically this happens after a day of deep selling and capitulation, maybe even 1000 points down on the DJIA intraday. Or some announcement by the government that changes the playing field.

Dangerous markets.

From London Trader - Read the Full Commentary at King World News:
“These guys in London woke up with their asses handed to them and I don’t think some of these guys will ever be short again, if they are still in business. So some of these perennial shorts that have always joined in the party got screwed, I mean literally lost everything. For the ones that didn’t lose everything, they certainly lost an awful lot.

Gold just gapped up and didn’t come back and these guys were heavily short. I believe there is still enough momentum to push gold into the $1,800’s. We are moving into season now and things are happening in China that will impact the markets in due course. Because we have been seeing that point of capitulation, we have been witnessing some dramatic moves as the shorts have been mauled, and as I mentioned, in some cases to the point of ending careers.”

I am wondering if the CME and their crew aren't going to pull another margin increase operation at some point on gold when the time is ripe, as they did after allowing silver to run up higher. JPM's 2500 gold call is making me edgy. I took profits today.

Be careful.



SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts



It is going to take a selling capitulation with the DJIA down over 1000 points intraday, or some sort of government announcement or action to turn this market around.

It does seem to be trying to find some footing on the chart here, but lately that just means a pause before we see another downdraft.

Markets like this are deadly for bottom-pickers. Be careful. Rough waters, matey.



Lessons Forgotten



I do not and can not condone violence, ever, except in the most dire and extreme circumstances in defense of home and family. The resort to violence in the case of a powerful oppressor is to give them what they desire, the intention of their provocations: the excuse to repression, murder, and genocide.

But non-violence, as Gandhi so eloquently observed, is the weapon of the strong, of the clear-headed, of the disciplined and devoted, and of the exceptionally brave whose courage is deeply grounded in something other than themselves. Without exceptional leadership, it rarely occurs naturally.
"There is no bravery greater than a resolute refusal to bend the knee to an earthly power, no matter how great, and that without bitterness of spirit, and in the fullness of faith that the spirit alone lives, nothing else does."
So as a response to prolonged injustice, violence often occurs, sparking mindlessly. To try and understand it, where its roots lie, is not to condone it, but to determine what it is and why it might be happening.  This is the path to a lasting remedy.

Is this some excess of youth fueled by drink and wild spirits, as in the aftermath of a sporting event, or is it something more profound than the wildness of men in groups? 

There is little doubt in my mind about the nature of what we are seeing today. I forecast the progress of these events years ago, as far back as 2002.

I am appalled to see that things are following that course.   I even forecast the burning of cities in Britain.  People at the time were incredulous at this. And yet here we are.

When you suppress discussion and choice, and abuse reason and justice over a period of years, you will ultimately bring forth the madness. And those who would use such a crisis, who imagine that it will serve their purpose, they will find that the will to power serves none but itself.

"Our government teaches the whole people by its example. If the government becomes the lawbreaker, it breeds contempt for law; it invites every man to become a law unto himself; it invites anarchy...If we desire respect for the law, we must first make the law respectable."

Louis D. Brandeis


"Men naturally rebel against the injustice of which they are victims. Thus, when plunder is organized by law for the profit of those who make the law, all the plundered classes try somehow to enter, by peaceful or revolutionary means, into the making of laws. According to their degree of enlightenment, these plundered classes may propose one of two entirely different purposes when they attempt to attain political power: Either they may wish to stop lawful plunder, or they may wish to share in it."

Frederic Bastiat


"And remember, where you have the concentration of power in a few hands, all too frequently men with the mentality of gangsters get control. History has proven that."

Lord Acton


"Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable."

John F. Kennedy

When the governance of a society refuses to listen to the calls for justice and reform over a long period of time, when it acts to ignore, co-opt, diffuse, and then suppress the voice of the reformers, when it uses the law as a means of legal plunder, that government and society will eventually answer not to reasoned dissent, not to principled calls for reforms, but to the rage of the mob.

And then that society may call for the strong man to come forward and bring these unruly other ones to heel, operating on his own and beyond the law, using whatever means he wishes, even to suspending of the law for the sake of expediency, and ultimately engaging in crimes against humanity for the sake of justice.

And that is always a Faustian bargain, a path of self-destruction. But in a people gripped by frustration, anger and fear, it is a powerful temptation.

Violence and expediency invites dark powers to rise and insinuate themselves among you. And then begins the downfall, an almost inevitable descent, and perilous journey, into a hell on earth.






"One may dislike Hitler's system and yet admire his patriotic achievement. If our country were defeated, I hope we should find a champion as indomitable to restore our courage and lead us back to our place among the nations."

Winston Churchill, The Times, November 7, 1938


Tsar Nicholas II: I know what will make them happy. They're children, and they need a Tsar! They need tradition. Not this! They're the victims of agitators. A Duma would make them bewildered and discontented. And don't tell me about London and Berlin. God save us from the mess they're in!

Count Witte: I see. So they talk, pray, march, plead, petition and what do they get? Cossacks, prison, flogging, police, spies, and now, after today, they will be shot. Is this God's will? Are these His methods? Make war on your own people? How long do you think they're going to stand there and let you shoot them? YOU ask ME who's responsible? YOU ask?

Tsar Nicholas II: The English have a parliament. Our British cousins gave their rights away. The Hapsburgs, and the Hoehenzollerns too. The Romanovs will not. What I was given, I will give my son.

For his obsession with power and privilege Nicholas gave his son, his wife, and his daughters a hard death in a dark cellar. But their dresses were sewn with jewels.

09 August 2011

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - La Douleur du Monde



You have to choose between trusting to the natural stability of gold and the natural stability of the honesty and intelligence of the members of the Government. And, with due respect for these gentlemen, I advise you, as long as the Capitalist system lasts, to vote for gold.

George Bernard Shaw

Very volatile day in the markets, with gold leading the way higher and silver lagging a bit here in the short term.

Gold appears to be rising strongly, but not so much parabolic as some might imagine. It is certainly short term extended to the upside, calling for some type of correction or consolidation. But the fundamentals remain compelling.

These are dangerous markets, especially the equity markets. Please be very careful with your trading.

Stocks are now trading like commodities, largely on the technicals, and with High Frequency Trading still dominating the trade, they are only loosely associated with reality. This is what has been driving people to look for something solid, reliable.

Alas, it is hard to find. Even in gold, the paper trade has distorted markets for years as a result of the failure of the CFTC and SEC to maintain honest and efficient markets. So the rest of the world starts to create its own markets, and the decline of the American Empire begins to accelerate.