25 September 2014

NAV Premiums of Certain Precious Metal Trusts and Funds


The gold/silver ratio is rather elevated.

The premiums on the non-Sprott funds are also exceptional.

The cash level on Sprott Silver is now surprisingly low.   At some point they will have to consider another offering to raise silver and cash and units outstanding. 



24 September 2014

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Options Expiration on the Comex Tomorrow


As a reminder, tomorrow is an option expiration for gold and silver October contracts on the Comex.

There was intraday commentary here. The gold that was smuggled into India the other week is greater than all the registered gold on the Comex. And there is much more upcoming for the festival season.  This is a world of tails wagging dogs.  But they think they have the tails to do it.

I get the sense that the pigmen are scared.  Now what they may fear is another question.  Perhaps they are afraid of spraining their knee from repeatedly kicking the markets in the ass towards whatever direction they prefer at that time. Or perhaps they are staring into the abyss once again, and feeling the edge growing nearer.  It is hard to say. 

There was further intraday commentary here introducing a video from Nomi Prins about why the Anglo-Americans have such a keen interest in certain locales like the Ukraine and Syria she calls 'gateways.'   

There was nothing much of interest happening yesterday on the carney game called the Comex, that paragon of transparent price discovery. hah!
 
The Gold/Silver ratio is an eye popping 68.9.   And silver is about as consistently oversold as I have seen it.  I will be looking for another buy point here for my silver positions.

It is hard not to suspect that there is more to many of these things than meets the eye.  We have been lied to so consistently that it does well to maintain a very active skepticism about all these things that don't add up, and seem to come at us out of nowhere.

The professionals have taken over the management of the country and the economy, and they are not inclined to discuss the issues with common shareholders, much less the unimportant person on the street who is walking around waving an empty wallet and a pretty much meaningless vote.

Time to get your hearts and heads right.

Have a pleasant evening.





SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Wall Street Celebrates


New home sales came in seasonally hot this morning.

Wall Street took the opportunity to start a new wash cycle going, and stocks were in rally mode most of the day, with the SP futures leading the charge higher.

My seller's regret on that big volatility position I unloaded the other day was greatly exaggerated. lol.

So what next?

Alibaba has been successfully taken to market, with about $300 or more million going into Wall Street's pocket.  And so the Banks bid its investors farewell and good luck.  .

Western leaders are doing as they are told, and all the enablers are behaving, from the courts to the academies.

The masters of disasters are back in the driver's seat again.

What could go wrong?

Have a pleasant evening.






Bye bye Alibaba!   We win again!  Yay us!


50 Tonnes In Ten Days: Gold Smuggling Overwhelms Government Restrictions In India


So much for the mainstream media reports of a waning interest in gold in India and elsewhere.

To put this into perspective, there are just under 32 tonnes of total registered gold on the Comex. 

USAToday did a rerun of 'Why Warren Buffett Hates Gold' the other day. 

Few outside the dollarsphere are listening anymore, or care.    

Things are certainly warming up.  The mispricing of risk is formidable.

The entire story can be read here.

Hindustan Times
50 tonne gold smuggled into India in 10 days, 30% reached Mumbai
By Manish Pachouly
Mumbai, September 23, 2014

About 50 tonnes of gold has been smuggled into the country in the past 10 days, and subsequently taken into the market to cater to a surge in demand for the precious metal in the festive season. There is a heavy demand for gold during Dussehra, for which booking and supply will start from Thursday, when shradh ends and Navratri starts.

Market sources said that 30% of the smuggled gold has been supplied in Mumbai to unscrupulous jewelers, while the rest was distributed to different parts of the country.

Sources said that illegal gold is finding a place in the market because of below average imports resulting from the 80:20 scheme and 10% import duty. Against the average monthly demand of 80 tonnes, the import is presently around 51 tonnes in the country.

Sources said that gold was smuggled into the country through the land route, via Nepal, Bhutan, Bangladesh and Pakistan. “This is because airports have tightened security, restricting the smuggling of gold by the air route,” said a market expert. The Mumbai airport customs, which has started a serious crackdown on gold smugglers, has seized around 529 kg gold from April to August this financial year.

Experts fear that more gold will be smuggled from similar land routes in days to come, as the demand will shoot up once the marriage season begins, in the later part of November. “There will be huge demand because of the festive season, and also the low price at which gold is presently being traded,” said Kumar Jain, vice-president of Mumbai Jewelers' Association.

Jain said, “The government should immediately bring down the import duty and relax the 80:20 scheme, so that official import goes up. That will bring down the smuggling.”

Rajiv Popley, director Popley Group, said, “Smuggling of gold has been on the rise for the last eight months, due to irrational supply issues. The officially available gold was at a premium, which was higher than anywhere else in the world.”