10 April 2019

Stocks and Precious Metal Charts - The Good Die Young


"We've got some difficult days ahead.   But it really doesn't matter with me now, because I've been to the mountaintop.  And I don't mind.  Like anybody, I would like to live a long life — longevity has its place. 

But I'm not concerned about that now.  I just want to do God's will.  And He's allowed me to go up to the mountain.  And I've looked over, and I've seen the Promised Land.  I may not get there with you.  But I want you to know tonight, that we, as a people, will get to the promised land. 

So I'm happy, tonight.  I'm not worried about anything, I'm not fearing any man.  Mine eyes have seen the glory of the coming of the Lord."

Martin Luther King, Last speech before he was assassinated, 3 April 1968


"And I know from a good friend who was there when it happened, that at a small dinner with progressive supporters – after these progressive supporters were banging on Obama before the election,  'Why don’t you do the things we thought you stood for?'   Obama turned sharply and said, 'Don’t you remember what happened to Martin Luther King Jr.?' That’s a quote, and that’s a very revealing quote."

Ray McGovern, former CIA analyst

The FOMC minutes were fairly benign today, and although not particularly dovish, they had little impact on stocks.

US stock indices were in melt up slowly mode today, but on wispish volume.

A good stiff breeze is going to blow this market over. At least in the short term, and for what will most likely be a decent retracement of this rally off the end of year lows.

But if not, if the wiseguys keep pressing their advantage, then when the trigger event comes we might get a much larger decline, something attention getting like we saw in December, and then some.

Earnings started today with a weak manufacturing showing, but they begin to get more serious with the Banks that report on Friday.

Gold continued inching higher towards resistance, with silver continuing to tag along.

Have a pleasant evening.





But If Not...

The God of the Worldly, of Principalities and Powers
"O Nebuchadnezzar, we do not need to defend ourselves before you in this matter. If we are thrown into the blazing furnace, the God we serve is able to save us from it, and he will rescue us from your hand, O king.

But if not, even if he does not preserve us, we want you to know, O king, that we will not serve your gods or worship the images of gold you have set up and commanded us to worship."

Daniel 3:16-18

"Now I want you to notice first, here, that these young men practiced civil disobedience.

Civil disobedience is the refusal to abide by an order of the government or of the state or even of the court that your conscience tells you is unjust. Civil disobedience is based on a commitment to conscience. In other words, one who practices civil disobedience is obedient to what he considers a higher law.

And there comes a time when a moral man can't obey a law which his conscience tells him is unjust. And I tell you this morning, my friends, that history has moved on, and great moments have often come forth because there were those individuals, in every age and in every generation, who were willing to say "I will be obedient to a higher law." These men were saying "I must be disobedient to a king in order to be obedient to the king."

And those people who so often criticize those of us who come to those moments when we must practice civil disobedience never remember that even right here in America, in order to get free from the oppression and the colonialism of the British Empire, our nation practiced civil disobedience.  For what represented civil disobedience more than the Boston Tea Party.

And never forget that everything that Hitler did in Germany was legal. It was legal to do everything that Hitler did to the Jews. It was a law in Germany that Hitler issued himself that it was wrong and illegal to aid and comfort a Jew in Hitler's Germany. But I tell you if I had lived in Hitler's Germany with my attitude, I would have openly broken that law. I would have practiced civil disobedience.

And so it is important to see that there are times when a man-made law is out of harmony with the moral law of the universe, there are times when human law is out of harmony with eternal and divine laws. And when that happens, you have an obligation to break it.

And I'm happy that in breaking it, I have some good company. I have Shadrach, Meshach, and Abednego. I have Jesus and Socrates. And I have all of the early Christians who refused to bow...

And this is what I want to say finally, that there is a reward if you do right for righteousness' sake...Don't ever think you're by yourself. Go on to jail if necessary but you'll never go alone.

Take a stand for that which is right, and the world may misunderstand you and criticize you, but you never go alone, for somewhere I read that "One with God is a majority," and God has a way of transforming a minority into a majority.

Walk with him this morning and believe in him and do what is right and he'll be with you even until the consummation of the ages. Yes, I've seen the lightning flash, I've heard the thunder roll, I've felt sin breakers dashing trying to conquer my soul but I heard the voice of Jesus saying still to fight on, he promised never to leave me, never to leave me alone; no, never alone, no, never alone. He promised never to leave me, never to leave me alone.

Where you going this morning, my friends, tell the world that you're going with truth. You're going with justice, you're going with goodness, and you will have an eternal companionship. And the world will look at you and they won't understand you, for your fiery furnace will be around you, but you'll go on anyhow.

But if not, I will not bow, and God grant that we will never bow before the gods of evil."

Martin Luther King, Ebenezer Baptist Church, Atlanta, Georgia, November, 1967


09 April 2019

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Spiegel im Spiegel


“Not everyone who calls out to me, ‘Lord! Lord!’ will enter the Kingdom of Heaven. Only those who actually do the will of my Father in heaven will enter.  On judgment day many will say to me, ‘Lord! Lord! We prophesied in your name and cast out demons in your name and performed many miracles in your name.’  But I will reply, ‘I never knew you.  Be gone from me, you who flout His laws.’"

Mark 7:21-23

Stocks were wobbly today, taking some time to digest their recent gains, which have been substantial.

I do not think that we have made our blow top yet, but I have an open mind given our lofty valuations.

Gold and silver continued to show some strength, as the Dollar largely moved sideways.

It will be interesting to see how our the status quo of our financial system will maintain itself in the collapse of this next asset bubble fomented by soft corruption and the abuse of the monetary power.


Have a pleasant evening.




08 April 2019

Stocks and Precious Metals Charts - Earnings in the Wings


Stocks were in a slow 'melt-up' for most of the day after a lower opening and morning.

The Dow Industrials were a bit of an outlier closing lower, thanks to Boeing and GE.

Gold and silver finished up thanks to a weakened Dollar.

Wall Street will be looking at the economic data for inflation this week.

Earnings season starts on Friday with JPM and Wells Fargo.

We will see if the earnings back up the market euphoria that we have seen since the Fed did their turnabout on rates.

Have a pleasant evening.