28 June 2013

NAV Premiums of Certain Precious Metal Trusts and Funds - Silver Snaps Back


Premiums are still quite weak, but the snapback in silver is a classic.

The Gold/Silver ratio is still high but nowhere near the 66 it was hitting.

This has been a market operation brought to you by your financial sector.

And there will be repercussions and consequences in the real world for what they have done.

There is no free lunch, even in control frauds.

Are you truly a den of vipers and thieves? Give the gold you have taken back to the German people to whom it rightfully belongs.




27 June 2013

Tonnes of Gold Removed From the Major ETFs and the COMEX Since January 1


Considering the theory that the purpose of this market operation was designed to take the price of gold lower since the first of the year, and to free up bullion to relieve certain stresses in delivery, I was wondering if we could quantify the results of it in any way.

With the help of Nick at Sharelynx.com, the keeper of records and master of charts,  I was able to calculate the approximate number of tonnes of inventory that were released into the market, or some private storage area perhaps, from the top funds and exchanges in the western world. The time period is from the beginning of this year through 26 June.

If this is correct, and the hypothesis is correct, then it is 'mission accomplished.'

There should be no excuses for not delivering Germany's gold.  And plenty of other bullion has been made available to solve those other pesky failures to deliver that seemed to be cropping up.

So one may presume that the bullion is in the mail to its rightful owners, in care of the Herr Weidmann at the Deutsche Bundesbank. The NY Fed sends its special regards.  Ich liebe dich.

Unless of course it has been rehypothecated to those barbarian buyers in Asia and the Mideast, yet again.

C'est la guerre des monnaies. Quelle dommage!

I have also included Nick's personal wave count for gold and silver, although I am not an adherent to the waves theory per se. And his long term confidence range for the gold bull market.

The stars seem to be aligning, with perhaps a few more antics and end of quarter shenanigans.  But boys will be boys, and they can't keep their hands off their toys.  So who can say what will happen next.  How about another round of bailouts?






Dubai: Not Enough Space On Flights To Carry Gold From West To East


Dubai is a hub for gold flowing from West to East.

But no gold for Germany can be found.

Could it be an unofficial bail-in? 

Curiouser and curiouser.

The National UAE
Gold rush 2013 style has Dubai scrambling
By James Doran
Jun 28, 2013

There is not enough space on airlines flying in to Dubai to meet the rapidly rising demand for physical gold in the emirate since the price plunged to record lows this week.

The price drop led to a rush of buyers for Dubai gold from the Middle East, South East Asia, the Balkans, Turkey and parts of Europe according to Tarek El Mdaka, the managing director of Kaloti Gold in Dubai.

"I cannot find a place for transporting gold on Emirates, on BA on Swiss Airlines this weekend," Mr El Mdaka said. "I am shipping in one-and-a-half to two tonnes of gold every day and it is going straight out...."

Read the rest of the story here.

Gold Daily And Silver Weekly Charts - End of Quarter, Stealth Confiscation


There is intraday commentary here.  I think it is important.

One remarkable thing about today's market action was the rebound in the miners even as gold underwent another waterfall bear raid of selling down to the 1200 level. 

While one can assign any motives they wish to the speculation about if and why there is a stealth confiscation happening, I do believe that the trigger for this was the request from Germany to have their sovereign gold returned, and the refusal of the custodian in New York to do so until 2020.

That is huge.  It is almost incomprehensible.

Any fails to deliver or difficulty in obtaining supply at the LBMA or the Comex is most likely a secondary effect to this request.

The scramble is on to find bullion, because a failure to deliver on a legitimate request from a sovereign nation to have their gold bullion returned at the insistence of their citizens, who actually own it, is stunning. I am surprised that more has not been made out of this, and that the German people took this so blithely.

A default on an exchange can be covered up with forced cash settlements. A rehypothecation of customer assets by an MF Global can be sectioned off and minimized with the right PR campaign, localized to the investors whose property has been misappropriated and will not be replaced, except in discounted cash.

But for a central bank to release another country's bullion to their cronies in the market and then be unable to replace it without roiling he markets and sending a shock into the financial system is almost unbelievable.

This is what has happened in my opinion, and why the 'dogs of the market' were released by the financiers on their own people to try and hide what must be an embarrassment of the first order.

And if you believe I am mistaken, or engaging in some obtuse conjecture, I have only one response.

Prove me wrong. Make the markets more transparent. And return Germany's gold.
"Truth never damaged a cause that is just."

Mohandas K. Gandhi
This has become a badly done shell game of rehypothecated assets that cannot be unwound except with much higher prices which are viewed as an embarrassment and an impairment to a few of the TBTF Banks.   Well, they have had plenty of opportunity to cover their massive short positions, and free up bullion from the big ETF.

The initial misdeed may have been minor, but as it always seems to happen, the coverup is growing like some gothic structure.  This is MF Global on steroids.

I think these fellows are playing for time, perhaps hoping for some 'big event' that will allow them to reset the markets and the rules of the game, for themselves and their cronies, once again.

Maybe there will be a rationale,  a fairy tale, that this was a way to pressure Iran, who was rumoured to be resorting to gold payments when their currency was blocked in the international payments system. The American people might believe this. I doubt the rest of the world will.

Show us the truth while they is still an honorable way out. Make the markets honest and transparent again. Stop stonewalling on the investigation of the silver market.  Fulfill your oaths.

Stand and deliver.




SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Back Up to the Trend Channel Top


The market has been rallying ever since it made that very precise hit on the Fibonacci retracement level that I pointed out just before it happened.

This is the end of the quarter, and so I would not be surprised to see the paint applied to the tape in liberal doses 'unless something happens.'

What else do they do in a kleptocracy.





Stand and Deliver: How Germany Disrupted the World's Gold Market


Someone asked, 'why would there be a desire to do a stealth confiscation of gold from the public holdings in ETFs and private stores through price manipulation?' Who could have been assigned the task of prying bullion out of the hands of the people, and for what conceivable reason? It appears to be happening, but why?

There are any number of possible reasons. Concerns that an innovative new round of QE and money creation might create a run on the gold price is one possibility. There should be little doubt in those who look into the evidence that central bankers are quite sensitive to gold and silver as alternative currencies and reflections of their own policy initiatives.

And that is quite possible. As I have pointed out, there is some precedent for it. In 1933 Franklin Roosevelt pulled back much of the publicly held gold in the US. And after this was done, the government revalued the gold from $20 to $35 overnight, and then used the gains to recapitalize the banking system.

Although this could happen again, it does not seem likely because it flies in the face of everything the central bank has achieved by putting the US on a purely fiat money regime, the last gold ties being severed by Nixon in the 1970s. They prefer to denigrate gold, even though they still hold it, and certainly speak about it quite a bit often through their intermediaries.

There is definitely a movement to revisit the Bretton Woods Agreement that established the dollar as the world's reserve currency. The BRICs, whose economic power is ascendant, are seeking to establish a new currency for global trade that is owned by no single central bank or entangled in the domestic policies of no single country. And they wish to add gold and possibly silver to that mix. And they are in the process of acquiring substantial reserves to accomplish it.

The Anglo-American banking cartel is resisting this movement with all their diplomatic and political might. One of the sensitivities of the recent spying scandal leaks is the concern that they may be trying to obtain intelligence that could be used in these negotiations which are ongoing, very quietly behind the scenes.

But one has to ask, 'what set off the firestorm of price manipulation against gold that started at the beginning of this year?' Unless one is a shill, or naïve about markets, the market operation to knock the price of gold, and also silver, down is fairly obvious and heavy handed. They are not even trying to hide it. Traders do not dump hundreds or even thousands of contracts at market in quiet periods with any other objective than to take the price down. It really is that simple.

My initial take on this was that this was part of the 'price-setting' negotiation for gold and silver in the basket of currencies that the BRICs are developing. But that seemed a bit thin, unless it was seen as a 'last stand' against including gold and silver by making the argument that they were too volatile.

So I looked back on the chart for what I saw was the pivotal moment, and then checked the news and tried to find some event that may have served as the impetus for it. And the truth of it was staring me right in the face.

How remarkable is it that Germany, at the urging of their citizens and despite the objections of their central banks, has requested the return of its sovereign gold from its custodial storage in New York? And that the Feds said, no. You can't have it, but we will be in position to return your own property in seven years time.

What was up with that? Venezuela had recently requested its gold to be returned, and that helped to push the price of gold up to its all time high, because the request had obviously been floated before it became public knowledge.

So why couldn't Germany have the return of its own property for seven years?

Think about this. And perhaps what is happening now will become more clear. It is all a part of the credibility trap, wherein past actions of officials must be hidden in order to protect careers and ensure the orderly functioning of the status quo, even to its own eventual detriment.

Oh this is wrong? This is some weird theory? Well I admit that part of the problem is that we are left to guess what the central banks and the markets are doing with our money and property far in excess of what might be expected in democratic societies. This is the failure of regulation and oversight, and the corrupting power of big money in politics.

But, ok. If this is just some distraction, then give Germany back its gold, in full, this year.

If you wish to prove your word is good and facts are straight, give Germany back its gold.

And if you wish to restore some level of confidence in the markets, make them more transparent and open so people can conduct their business efficiently and safely without fear of being cheated and defrauded at every turn.

If you wish the trust and respect of the world, redeem what you have pledged to hold in trust.   If you have taken some actions in the past that were made in good faith and for good reasons, but may have gone too far or turned out badly in retrospect, make good on them now.   The way to stem a scandal is to bring the truth to light.  It is never the initial act that brings down government, but the subsequent attempt at coverup that obtains a life of its own.

Do the right thing even if it is not convenient, because it is the right thing to do. 

Prove your full faith and credit to be worthy.  Fulfill your oaths.  Tear down the wall of secrecy that divides the people from their government. End this before it can go any further.

Stand and deliver.

"Oh what a tangled web we weave when first we practice to device."

Sir Walter Scott

"We looked into the abyss if the gold price rose further. A further rise would have taken down one or several trading houses, which might have taken down all the rest in their wake. Therefore at any price, at any cost, the central banks had to quell the gold price, manage it."

Sir Eddie George, Bank of England, in private conversation, September 1999