"Evil when we are in its power is not felt as evil but as a necessity, or even a duty. As soon as we do evil, the evil appears as a sort of duty. Once a certain class of people has been placed by the authorities outside the ranks of those whose life has value, then nothing comes more naturally to men than murder. As soon as men know they that they can kill without fear of punishment or blame, they kill; or at least they encourage killers with approving smiles."
Simone Weil, 1947
The bulls are guarding the pivot points on these charts as though they mean something.
There are quite a few 'crash predictions' floating around. I think they are a bit early, as the period of greatest danger will be from Labor Day to Thanksgiving Day in the States.
There is a whiff of hysteria in the air, and people attempting to use fear to promote their own ends.
SP 500 September Futures Daily Chart
NDX September Futures Daily Chart
Sleepy trade despite the almost 20 point range on the SP futures, and on a Friday the 13th no less.
Light volumes and trader's games.
SP 500
NDX 
Gold
It will be a wonder if the stock market remains favorable to an IPO of this size by October.
ABC News
GM IPO Filing Delayed Until Early Next Week
By Soyoung Kim
August 13, 2010
NEW YORK (Reuters) - General Motors Co has delayed its IPO filing until early next week as it updates its prospectus with the recent CEO change and a management risk factor, a source familiar with the situation said on Friday.
The filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission was originally scheduled for Friday, sources said previously.
GM Chief Executive Ed Whitacre said on Thursday he would step down and Dan Akerson would take over, effective in September.
The source who said the filing had been delayed declined to be named because preparations for the IPO are not public.
GM's several-hundred-page prospectus will not provide the number of shares to be sold or the pricing range. It will cite the company's bankruptcy, steps completed in restructuring, financial projections, details of ownership, and a large set of risk factors, sources have said.
GM is now adding a new risk factor regarding the departure of Whitacre and increased uncertainty about the automaker's long-term leadership and the change is expected to take more than a day, the source said.
By filing initial paperwork with the SEC next week, GM is aiming to complete its IPO between late October and the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday, another source familiar with the matter said.
A successful GM IPO, which could be the largest ever for the U.S. market, would hand the Obama administration an important political win against critics of its controversial $50 billion bailout of the top U.S. automaker, analysts have said.
The automaker secured a $5 billion credit facility this week, two sources briefed on the deal told Reuters on Wednesday, clearing the last remaining hurdle toward an initial public offering of stock expected to make the U.S. government a minority shareholder.
Ten major banks have signed on to the $5 billion credit facility, committing up to $500 million each, but the individual commitments would be cut as GM adds more banks in other countries and emerging markets as part of its efforts to attract global investors, sources said...
Weren't FHA loans supposed to be a form a welfare for 'poor people?' Not since the Expanding America Home Ownership Act of 2007.
And it appears this is one 'reform' that can't be blamed on 'the liberals' and Obama. Crony Capitalism is not a political party, it's a way of life in which power and greed are the measure of all things.
Well, some of the New York real estate developers are poor, relatively speaking, compared to an investment banker or a trader pulling down a fifty million dollar annual bonus for packaging fraudulent financial instruments. But they are all rich in their well connected friends in the government.
The kleptocracy never sleeps; crony capitalism knows no bounds...
NBC New York
Luxury Condos Asking the Feds For Help
By JUAN DEJESUS
Fri, Aug 13, 2010Seek FHA insurance to drive condo sales
The federal government may soon come to the rescue of stalled luxury condominiums in Manhattan.
Manhattan luxury condominiums known for posh amenities and high price tags are beginning to apply for Federal Housing Administration backing.
Condominium developers hope to open financing opportunities for their purchasers as well as guarantee a little protection for themselves. Not only will lending institutions be more willing to lend to purchasers with FHA backing, but the FHA will pay the mortgage should a home buyer default.
The FHA loosened the condo rules because of “market conditions,” Lemar Wooley, an agency spokesman told Bloomberg.com
The administration recently agreed to insure mortgages for apartments at the 98-unit Gramercy Park development, known as Tempo in Match, according to Bloomberg. That deal allowed buyers to make a down payment of as low as 3.5 percent in a complex where apartments run up to $3 million...
The interview with William K. Black starts at 13:00 in this video and is well worth seeing.
Gresham's Dynamic: The least ethically inclined have an advantage in the US financial system (in which regulatory capture nullifies enforcement) driven by perverse incentives of oversized bonuses and the failure to investigate and prosecute criminal activity.
In addition to the overhang of unindicted and undeclared fraud that is still in place, distorting the clearing of the markets, there is the issue of an imbalanced economy in which an oversized financial sector exacts what amounts to a draconian tax on the real economy, that is, fees and tariffs and other unproductive drains in excess of anything that the government is levying.
What Do You Get for a 250% Tax Increase?
As I recall the percentage of financial sector profits to corporate profits recently peaked at 41%, from a long run average of less than 16%. Granted, this is a bit theoretical because of the pervasive accounting fraud in the banks and the corporations.
I wonder what the percentage of profit, pre-bonus, is being enjoyed now?
This can be viewed as a form of a tax. If the government raised taxes from 16% to 41% what do you think the impact on the US economy would be? And yet there is little discussion of this, or the racketeering that accompanied such a festival of looting.
Yet conceptually this is what has been accomplished through the deregulation of the banks and the repeal of Glass-Steagall, and of course, regulatory capture. The financial sector acts primarily as a capital accumulation and allocation system, and secondarily to facilitate wealth transferals through pure investment and speculation, the famous school of winners and losers. I would suggest that this latter function has grown out of control like a cancer, and metastasized to drain and debilitate the better part of the political system and the non-financial economy.
I would suggest that this system is broken, and that there can be no sustainable recovery until it is fixed. How can confidence return when most of those in the know realize that the fraud is still in play? Who can take positions with confidence in such a corrupt environment wherein the government acts as the handmaiden to a handful of powerful Banks which engage in large scale frauds as a mainstay of their business, and with virtual impunity?
Stimulus that is not targeted, and especially any subsidy that passes through the Banks, is liable to this tax. It reminds me of warlords stealing charitable relief as it arrives in a Third World country before it can be distributed to the people.
But austerity is even worse, because the kinds of austerity being discussed are specifically targeting the ordinary people who have been badly used already to say the least, and not the perpetrators of one of the biggest financial frauds in the history of the world, and those wealthy few who benefited from a culture of deception which they helped to form.
This is a compounding of the suffering and injustice. If one were to set a recipe for a social and civil revolution it would fit the bill nicely. No one ever said that the pigmen are not self-destructive in their lifestyles and obsessions.
The comparison to the aftermath of the Savings and Loan crisis could not be more stark. Why the inability and reluctance to investigate and indict? What is the government covering up? Who is pulling Obama's strings?
Here is an interesting interview and slide presentation with Mr. Ben Davies, CEO of Hinde Capital. It should be noted that when he speaks about ETFs he is referring to the gold and silver ETFs only, and with a particular type of customer in mind.
His point is that for those buying gold and silver in large quantity as insurance against systemic risk, the precious metal ETFs like GLD and SLV are not very effective because they have vulnerabilities and correlations with the same risks against which one seeks to insure.
If one wants to own bullion, then own it. It appears that GLD and SLV fall a bit short there, compared even to the bullion funds like PHYS, CEF, GTU, and the streaming metals company SLW, which can also be used for trading purposes.
And some may prefer not to do business with GLD and SLV as a matter of principle, as well as principal.
Ben Davies of Hinde Capital on King World News discusses Exchange Traded Funds (audio interview).
Hinde Capital PDF Slide Presentation on ETFs
There are 50 slides in Hinde's presentation. Here are a few.
Related: Options for Storing Precious Metals - Solari
Here is another critique of GLD that is more detailed: Owning GLD Can Be Hazardous to Your Wealth.
Note: Hinde Capital is offering a product that is competitive to the gold and silver ETFs.
The stock market was hit by a double whammy with the miss in revenue by bellwether Cisco after the bell last night, and then the dreadful unemployment claims number this morning, with 484,000 more people unemployed versus 465,000 expected.
Stocks opened much lower as expected, but as the selling subsided they managed to climb back regaining much of the losses in a low volume trading day.
I think the Street, dominated as it is by the big TBTF banks, will rally around this pivot point of support on the major indices until the General Motors IPO comes out, which should be next week at the latest. CEO Ed Whitacre announced today that he will be stepping down to make way for someone that will stay with the company for a longer time horizon, to give investors confidence in the new share offering as GM becomes a public company again.
So while volumes remain light and 'nothing happens' to trigger hard selling, I would expect these down days to be met with the purchase of the SP futures in particular to give it support. While the SP futures may see unusually high volumes as a fellow blogger noted yesterday, this is indicative of organized Street support to prop the market keying in on the SP 500 futures in the style endorsed by Robert Rubin, and not legitimate investor interest in buying the dip.
There are not many investors in these markets at these prices; the market is primarily consists of speculation and momentum trading, and therefore prone to sharp sell offs like the recent flash crash. This is why I have put out the 'black diamond' sign even though I do not anticipate a serious downleg until the IPO of GM is priced and put out to market. If it is withdrawn that will be a deadly sign that the Street believes there is insufficient liquidity to get it out to market, even though the government wants it to happen, and badly.
By the way, I was just thinking today how fortunate that Bush Jr's proposal to 'privatize Social Security' by investing it in the stock market was turned down, even by Alan Greenspan who never met a pedigreed Wall Street scam he couldn't support.
SP 500
Nasdaq 100
Cisco's weak results (for them) and their weaker forecast sent tech into a tailspin last night. It managed to hold itself together today for the reasons cited above.
Gold appears to have recovered from its FOMC-inspired smackdown and has resumed its uptrend. Do not expect this to be straightforward or easy, and you will not be disappointed.
But anyone who says that gold is a bubble is either talking their book or operating on a badly mistaken theory of money and value. This undeniable bull market in gold and silver is a direct reflection of the well deserved and justified deterioration in the financial system and the currency, the perception that Wall Street is rife with fraud, cronyism and corruption, and hidden counterparty risks.
The way to fix the problem is not by engaging in further fraud and market manipulation, like trying to silence the smoke alarm to keep everyone calm and confident. It takes a particularly perverse Madoff-like view of the world to write that prescription. The way to repair confidence is to reform the markets and weed out the crime, and establish a more equitable and self-governing system of global trade, because the current dollar reserve regime is no longer sustainable.
Failure to reform is gold's best friend. And this is why the crooks hate it publicly, while stuffing their personal vaults with it privately.
Gold
A Sign of a Top in Corporate Bonds
US corporations are issuing large amounts of new debt to take advantage of the exceptionally low rates created by quantitative easing. IBM recently did a major issue of three year notes that went out at one percent. Johnson and Johnson came out today with ten and thirty year notes at record lows.
Johnson & Johnson sold $1.1 billion of debt at the lowest interest rates on record for 10-year and 30-year securities amid surging investor demand for corporate debt.
The drugmaker, in the first offering by a nonfinancial AAA rated company in 15 months, sold $550 million of 2.95 percent, 10-year notes and the same amount of 4.5 percent, 30-year bonds, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. That’s the lowest coupons for those maturities on record, according to Citigroup Inc. data going back to 1981.
Great deal, if you wish to have record low returns in a depreciating currency with counter party risk correlated to an economic recovery. No risk in corporates, right? Maybe less for J&J, but most of the others will be promises writ on water if a major Depression ensues. But perhaps the Fed can buy them.
I obviously cannot predict when and if it will happen with certainty. But if the economy turns down and a dollar currency crisis ensues these corporate bonds will suffer a meltdown between foreign selling and corporate defaults.
Nassim Taleb believes that government bonds will collapse and is betting on it. I think corporates are a better bet, because a business slump and corporate failures could do the trick, even while the dollar and the short end of the curve is viewed as a safe haven.
But if there is a fear of hyperinflation and a greater dollar crisis, even the relative safety of Treasuries will melt down, and the longer end of the curve will drop in value faster than you can say "Sell."
This economic paper might have been funny if it had appeared in The Onion, or on Fox News, and not in a serious journal of economic thought.
This rather clever argument proposes that China is 'destroying the dollar' because they are jealous and hate the US for its happiness and freedom. It is not completely new, but I have not seen it in print. Someone that I know who sometimes spreads spin and stories which they get from highly placed contacts in the banking cartel told me about this diabolical plot about five months ago as I recall.
There reminds me of a long standing corporate tactic that says if you have been doing something underhanded to someone and the shit is about to hit the fan, accuse them of doing the same thing to you first. This was standard management procedure at the multinational where I worked for many years, as it tottered towards its eventual self-destruction.
The theory promoted by this paper is funny because I did not know that Ben Bernanke is Chinese, or that the Federal Reserve is a Chinese state agency. Are the Chinese the cabal of international bankers we hear so much about? How cleverly they disguise themselves.
But it would not surprise me if a portion of the Congress is in on China's payroll. They will take money from anybody and everybody. And after all, the Chinese military were campaign contributors to Bill Clinton (remember that scandal the Clintons tried to pin on Al Gore?) just about the time he opened up trade with them despite their recent 40% currency devaluation and continuing currency peg. And China owns Wal-Mart, and Goldman Sachs, Citi, and JP Morgan there rube, don't ya know. And W doubled down on the deal and went along with this commie plot. Maybe Putin hypnotized him while the Chimp was staring into his soul.
I would file this one under "prospective scapegoats to blame when the dollar currency crisis hits" and everyone in charge denies they could have foreseen it coming. After all, the dollar is as a god, all powerful and immortal.
So this must be an economic sneak attack, a conspiracy of crafty foreign devils. Therefore it's time for a pre-emptive strike on (Venezuela/Iran/some weaker country that has something we want preferably oil). After all, the mighty dollar could NEVER fail because of pernicious abuse by a banking cartel conceived in Georgia and ratified in 1913 by a Congress anxious to go on its Christmas vacation.
Here is another clever plan for the people of the US to consider, when the puffed up dollar finally hits the wall and the Congress and Banksters deny all involvement and responsibility.
* admit that one cannot control one's compulsion for debt and fraud and rule by crooks and idiots;The dollar has been in the process of self-destruction since that clever Chinese agent Richard Nixon defaulted on the US gold obligations in 1971.
* recognize a greater power that can give strength and guidance, that most definitely does not work for Goldman Sachs;
* examine past errors with the help of a sponsor (the Constitution and probably the IMF);
* make amends for these errors by cleaning up your corrupt financial system and jailing the white collar criminals involved;
* learn to live a new life by honoring a code of behavior (the Constitution), a hard currency, and give up the idea of empire;
* help others that suffer, as a benevolent US did many years ago before it was hijacked by a group of irresponsible sociopaths.
Economic Policy Journal
Is China Executing a Cunning Sun Tzu Strategy to Destroy the Dollar and Cause an Upward Price Explosion in Gold?
By Elizabeth Brinsden
August 12, 2010
Could China be coveting the role of the next economic superpower, thereby supplanting the USA? If so, is China planning to do this by design or is it simply awaiting this result by default as a result of the total collapse of the American economic system?
Whether we like it or not, China has already become the 800 lb Gorilla in the dining room, economically speaking. We ignore this fact at our peril. Thus it may be advisable to reorientate our thinking from that of the rationalist, pragmatic thought processes which arose out of the Enlightenment and complement our thinking with something more akin to that of the Chinese.
In order to accomplish this, it is constructive to take a closer look at the ancient Chinese philosopher, Master Sun Tzu. In an earlier article , based on a book by Harro von Senger on this theme[1], I have attempted to do this in connection with the Special Drawing Rights[2], as advocated by the Chinese earlier this year. However, I will now examine this idea in the context of the the Chinese possession of US Bonds, a subject not only of relevance to these two countries, but also for the stability of the entire international economic system.
At a superficial level, it may appear to the onlooker that China has been sucked into a giant malinvestment by purchasing these bonds, but a closer look at Master Sun’s stratagems may reveal a well conceived and even cunning plan...
Read the rest of this paper here.
As you know I have been trying to 'figure out' Barack Obama and his mysterious background and equally mystifying rise to power, without having done anything notable, either in business, or civil service, or even military service. Granted, he talks one hell of a game but always seems to fall short. He seems to have less substance, far less accomplishments than his fellow actor in the White House, Ronald Reagan, who had been a governor before becoming President.
Perhaps the answer is as simple as this.
"It's hard to believe that a two-year senator from Chicago with a background in 'community organizing' presides over this elaborate and opaque system of imperial rule. He doesn't, of course. The real leaders remain hidden behind the cloak of democratic government and all of Washington's phony institutions. Obama is merely a public relations hologram, a friendly face that conceals the machinations of a global Mafia. Other people--whoever they may be--control the levers of power moving the pieces as needed to assure the best outcome for themselves and their constituents." Mike Whitney, Kill Hugo?Well, unlike his predecessor, at least he has not tortured anyone that we know about.
