20 June 2010

US Ceding Parts of Arizona to Criminal Activity, As It Has Been Doing in the Financial Markets


This situation is an analogue to the US economy, where increasingly larger portions of the financial markets in the US are being ceded to white collar fraud and manipulation by the gangs of New York. The problem is not with law enforcement per se, but that the basic functions of government are being overwhelmed by inept and corrupt lawmakers and regulators, the powerful rule of special interests, and a general lack of concern and disdain for the needs of the ordinary citizens. These are the root cause of the failures of government in the US.

This is not a problem of Republicans versus the Democrats. It is the age old problem of the avarice of an oligarchy of the self-proclaimed elites against the rights of the private individual, and the common people.

"From whence shall we expect the approach of danger? Shall some trans-Atlantic military giant step the earth and crush us at a blow? Never. All the armies of Europe and Asia...could not by force take a drink from the Ohio River or make a track on the Blue Ridge in the trial of a thousand years. No, if destruction be our lot we must ourselves be its author and finisher. As a nation of free men we will live forever or die by suicide."

Abraham Lincoln
"In a press conference ignored by the American national media, the sheriff described how his deputies were outmanned and outgunned by the cartel smugglers who increasingly operate using military tactics and weapons. The result, said Sheriff Babeu, was that a wide corridor of Arizona from the border North to the outskirts of Phoenix is effectively controlled by the cartels. "We do not have control of this area," the sheriff said.

At the same time as the sheriff's ignored press conference, the national media did cover assurances from the Obama Administration that crime was down at the border; that the border had never been safer. This ludicrous propaganda was based on selected crime stats from San Diego, Phoenix, Austin and San Antonio. The new reign of terror on the border in Arizona was airbrushed out of the picture.

Here's the real picture Obama does not want you to see. Warning signs were posted this past month by the federal government 80 miles North of the border on the South side of I-8 between Casa Grande and Gila Bend urging U.S. citizens not to camp or hike in the "Active Drug and Human Smuggling Area" because "Visitors May Encounter Armed Criminals."

Read the rest of the story at Crossing a Dangerous Threshold by Michael Panzner.

It is not a question of financial stimulus or fiscal austerity, which are a meaningless debate intended to distract attention from the much more serious problem. The fundamental issue is the enforcement of the laws, the administration of justice, the upholding of the Constitution and the Bill of Rights, and the reform of the financial markets and the economy. All things, all policies, are turned to foul ends while the system is driven by a fundamental corruption.

The Banks must be restrained, and the financial system reformed, with balance restored to the economy, before there can be any sustained recovery.

18 June 2010

Gold and Silver Option Expiration Dates Remaining in 2010




Not all expirations are equally influential on the markets. As in the case of stocks it depends on the popularity of the contract, and of course the size and distribution of puts and calls at the various strike prices.

Investors can ignore these 'wiggles.' I tend to keep them in mind for entry and exit purposes for non-futures positions, and potential hedging in my trading portfolio.

Gold, Silver, and SP 500 Futures Daily Charts


Gold made a new all time high on the weekly close, and the handle is now broken to the upside. Some have been trying to spot a rising wedge in this handle formation, but as you can see it is more of an uptrending channel, as the cup and handle dominates the longer term chart. There is plenty of room for another retracement, and do not expect this to be easy. The premiums on the trusts and funds are low, and there is quite a bit of stubborn bearish sentiment.



Silver is trying to break out above resistance around the 20 level. I suspect it will do so fairly soon.



It is obvious that the SP 500 needs to move higher to break out of this diagonal trading range.



There are so many cats out there talking their books that it is no wonder that the average investor prefers to sit on the sidelines. They do not know whom to trust or believe even on the basics f the economy.


Official Gold Reserves As of June 10, 2010, and Truths Yet to be Told


It is important to remember that these are the 'official' numbers. And it does not show how the reserves are 'encumbered' by leases and loans.

For example, there is circumstantial evidence that the Reserve Bank of Australia loans up to 100% of its gold reserves to the bullion banks who subsequently sell it, and then 'owe' it to the Bank and the people of Australia. The trick of course is the significant counterparty risk in the event of a serious short squeeze.

And they are not the only ones. Since this is an asset owned by the people, a timely and transparent accounting by the Treasuries and the Banks is something that the people of every nation obviously deserve. Whether the financial engineers, who enjoy experimenting with Other People's Money and doing favors for their private sector cronies, will ever willingly provide that information is another story altogether. It will almost certainly be under force of law, or an independent audit.

World Gold Council
Official sector gold reserves as at June 2010

European central banks sold virtually no gold over the past quarter, save a small amount for minting gold coins. Total sales by European central banks have amounted to just 1.8 tonnes since the third central bank gold agreement began in September of last year. The only sales of note made via CGBA3 have been by the IMF, which has sold 38.7 tonnes since mid-February. We expect the IMF to sell at a similar pace this quarter.

Outside of the agreement, the main purchases reported over the last quarter have been by Russia and the Philippines, both of which have long-standing gold buying programmes. The Central Bank of Russia bought another 26.6 tonnes of gold over the past quarter, taking its total gold holdings to 668.6 tonnes or 5.5% of its total reserves, and remains the 9th largest official sector gold holder. The Philippines central bank bought 9.5 tonnes of gold in March, taking its gold holdings to 164.7 tonnes or 13.7% of total reserves.

The Saudi Arabian Monetary Authority reported last quarter that “gold data have been modified from First Quarter 2008 as a result of the adjustment of the SAMA’s gold accounts”, meaning SAMA’s gold reserves are now reported to be 322.9 tonnes or 2.8% of reserves, from 143 tonnes or 1.2% previously....





What Have They Been Doing Since the Financial Crisis Began?



"China is considered a stealth buyer of gold, said Boris Schlossberg, director of currency research at Global Forex Trading. As the world's largest producer of the metal, China often buys gold from its own mines and doesn't report those sales publicly. But in April 2009, China did admit to having added 454 tonnes, or a 76% increase, to its reserves since 2003.

Analysts suspect the country is continuing to buy gold and could in fact, be the world's largest buyer consistently. It simply doesn't reveal it's pro-gold stance proudly, however, because China is also the world's largest holder of U.S. Treasurys.

Announcing an aggressive gold buying spree is not in China's best interest because, for one, it might push gold prices higher. Secondly, it could devalue the U.S. dollar, which would subsequently lessen the worth of the country's portfolio of U.S. government bonds, Schlossberg said."

Central Banks Join Gold Rush - CNN


Just as there are stealthy buyers, how can one refuse to acknowledge the body of evidence that there are also stealthy sellers, hiding behind official secrecy, derivatives arrangements, leases, and accounting frauds that will shock and anger the real owners of the assets when their hidden and conflicted dealings with their cronies in the private banking sector are revealed?

Anyone at this point who says that the Fed would never engage in such obviously compromised and conflicted transactions, and then go to great lengths to hide them, has either not been reading the real news, or is as compromised as the central bankers and their cronies in government and the mainstream media are, morally and intellectually.

And if they will allow the equity markets to be manipulated, as any even modestly sophisticated trader with decent access to tools must now recognize and admit, why would they hesitate to enable and encourage the manipulation of the sovereign bond markets, and those markets that affect them, which are by far the most important markets of all?

The world is not big enough for them to find a place to hide from justice after the truth is revealed. So they will lie and obstruct, extend and pretend, increasingly desperate for power, corrupting all that is corruptible, until the very end, and the final downfall and collapse. And then will come the crocodile tears, and the claims of ignorance, and finally weak apologies that they thought they were doing the right thing, but were honestly mistaken.

Such is the case in all control frauds, white collar crimes, official corruption, and Ponzi schemes.

The banks must be restrained, the financial system reformed, and the economy brought back into balance, before there can be any sustained recovery.