12 October 2014

Greenwald: Why Privacy Matters, and the Endowment of Individual Rights and the State

 
Privacy is the space that defines the will of the individual, which sets the area that says, 'this is mine, because this is me.'
 
Privacy is the 'outer skin' of the self.

I may wish to share my space to varying degrees with family, friends, and acquaintances. If I have the good sense I may even wish to open my heart and live in a continuing act of worship and companionship with my Creator.
 
But that choice to conform myself to His will and open my thoughts and heart to Him, is mine. This is a gift that is hard to comprehend, but which grants us the intimacy of His love, rather than objectification as a possession, or a thing to be owned.

It is His most supreme condescension that He grants us the power to resist, to say no, to be other and apart from Him if we so choose. He makes us the sovereigns of a portion of His being, and says, you are free. And in His caring for another grants us a soul of our own. This is the essence of our being, and the wellspring of our existence.

What kind of love is in thrall to the beloved, which has no choice, no self identity that it may give to another, freely? What are we to an all-powerful God, except that which He has granted to us, forever, as ours alone and ours to give?

A tyrannical State, which has no virtuous restraint, by its very definition wishes to insert itself into this private space, not as a gracious God who grants us the will to either open or close the most private recesses of our heart to Him, but rather to take by force that which marks our individuality. It would be as a god, but on its own perverse and darker terms. It seeks to possess, uncaring, which is the opposite of love.
 
Privacy and the primacy of the individual is no gift from the State, but a recognition of what has been defined as 'an inalienable right' precisely because it is not granted by the State, but something higher, superior to an earthly power.

Surveillance, on an indiscriminate and massive scale by an increasingly intrusive State, is not a benign act in the cause of homeland protection.  It is not an excess of zeal among well meaning bureaucrats.  It is the very definition of statism.

It is an act of the will to power of the State over the individual, to claim that last bastion of privacy that marks the least amount of space that a person may occupy as their own. And it is relentless in its jealousy, expediency and ownership.  It asserts the supremacy of power, and takes all power to itself.  
 
The violation of the individual is not incidental to the establishment of a tyranny.  It is essential. 
"If relativism signifies contempt for fixed categories and those who claim to be the bearers of objective and eternal truth, then there is nothing more relativistic than Fascist attitudes and activity.  

From the fact that all ideologies are of equal value, we Fascists conclude that we have the right to create our own ideology and to enforce it with all the energy of which we are capable. ”

Benito Mussolini, Diuturna

It is the State's way of asserting that all that we have, all that we are, all that we may do or think, belongs to them at their unquestioned discretion and expediency.

 It is the will to power, and the way of earthly death. And we who belong to the Lord can have no part of it, for He is ours and we are His. He calls us by name, and we hear His voice.



 
Statists of both the left and right seek to elevate the State to an unnatural priority over all things free and individual, since individual choice is inseparable from any notion of freedom. Therefore they must subordinate the individual to the expediency of the State not only in so called 'emergencies' but over time as a matter of their continuing policy.
 
One sees this theme of the primacy of state sanctioned organizations over people today. This is the basis of the 'corporatism' that seems so bizarre, but that we are already seeing creep into our legal judgements.
 
Therefore Corporations will have the rights of people and beyond.  They are relatively free of the most important civic obligations, and are granted privileges and perquisites beyond the individual.   Under a statism that claims the definition of all value as its prerogative, some are more equal than others, and justice is by definition at the discretion of the State.

Not to belabor the point, but as an aside this is why Alan Greenspan said that all Statists react to gold with an almost hysterical antagonism. Gold, having no counterparty risk, has been historically regarded as a natural and independent measure of economic value and store of wealth.   




11 October 2014

China Acquired 2000 Tonnes of Gold In 2013, Almost Double World Gold Council Estimates


Dornbusch's Law:   The crisis takes a much longer time coming than you think, and then it happens much faster than you would have thought.

Dr. Rudi Dornbusch

The lack of intelligent coverage by the media for this sea change in global asset allocations is remarkable.

Koos Jansen has been doing some terrific work in this area.

I have some suspicions about where the gold bullion that is leaving the Western funds and ETFs is going.

Gold is moving steadily from West to East. When the reckoning comes, it may be terrific.


SGE Chairman: 2013 Chinese Gold Demand Was 2000 tonnes

By Koos Jansen
Published: 10-10-2014 18:23

SGE Chairman: 2013 Chinese Gold Demand Was 2000t This is the final blow for the ones who still couldn’t comprehend, after all evidence presented, the amount of Chinese non-government gold demand in 2013.   At the LBMA forum in Singapore June 25, 2014, one of the keynote speakers was chairman of the Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE) Xu Luode. In his speech he made a few very candid statements about Chinese consumer gold demandthat according to Xu reached 2,000 tonnes in 2013. In contrast to the Word Gold Council (WGC) that states Chinese gold demand was 1,066 tonnes in 2013. Xu's speech has now finally been translated and published in the LBMA magazine The Alchemist #75.
Xu's statements once again confirm what I have been writing for months. SGE withdrawals equal Chinese wholesale demand:
import + mine + scrap = total supply = SGE withdrawals = wholesale demand
Let's go through a couple of quotes from Xu:
Data on China’s gold imports has not previously been made available to the public. However, gold has historically been imported through Hong Kong, and Hong Kong is highly transparent, disclosing details such as the number of tonnes of gold imported on a monthly basis. Last year, China imported 1,540 tonnes of gold. Such imports, together with the 430 tonnes of gold we produced ourselves, means that we have, in effect, supplied approximately 2,000 tonnes of gold last year. 
The 2,000 tonnes of gold were consumed by consumers in China. Of course, we all know that the Chinese ‘dama’ [middle-aged women] accounts for a significant proportion in purchasing gold. So last year, our gold exchange’s inventory reduced by nearly 2,200 tonnes, of which 200 tonnes was recycled gold. 
Again, we can read the simplified equation (for 2013):
import (1540t) + mine (428t) + scrap (229t) = SGE withdrawals (2197t)

I recommend that you read the entire article here.


An Index of Global Stock Indices Is Starting To Roll Over


Here is an 'index of global indices' that is tracked as a stock sentiment indicator by Nick Laird at Sharelynx.com.
 
The red line is the 200 DMA.

The index includes the Dow Jones Industrials/Transports/Utilities, NYSE, SP500, Nasdaq, Russell 2000, Hong Kong HSI, Nikkei 225, Singapore STI, Australian AORD, Toronto 300, Mexico IPC, FTSE 100, France CAC, Germany DAX, and Swiss SMI.

Each of the index's 17 components is arithmetically averaged giving them an equal weighting

You will notice that we have had some false breakdowns before this latest break in trend.
 


10 October 2014

Harvey Organ's Gold and Silver Blog Has Been Completely 'Deleted by Court Order'


Several patrons have asked me if I know what has happened to Harvey Organ's precious metals blog.

I have been given to understand by an email that his site on Google blogger has been 'deleted by court order' and in accordance with Google's terms of service and content policy.
 
The specific terms of the court order or the originator have not been revealed to me.  It is not clear to me that Harvey himself knows this yet.
 
I had thought Harvey's Precious Metals blog was fairly benign, and Google has been easy to work with based on my own experience.  
 
Things like this generally involve either alleged copyright infringement or some sort of defamation.  Harvey was based in Canada, and I do not know if Canadian laws on this are different than US laws, or even which jurisdiction issued the court order. 
 
I do not care to speculate.   This is all that I know. If I find out more, which I hope will be the case, I will pass that along.
 
You may find some 'back issues' of Harvey's blog on the Internet Archive here.
 
Here's looking at you, kid.


Reprise: China Has Created a New Form of Capitalism


This is a reprise of a posting from this café in 2012.

It was my attempt to recreate a story I had originally posted on The Crossroads Café when it was hosted on Yahoo Geocities, between 2000 and 2007.
 

This is an old story from 2005. It is getting harder to find on the web, and so I wanted to copy it here for future reference.

I remember vividly when this came out, because only a month or two before Mr. Gates had reportedly condemned the Opensource software movement in the west as the work of 'communists.'

Irony is like candy to the restlessly cynical mind.

Now we must keep in mind that this story was written before the suicides at the factories like Foxconn in China, that exposed the horrific working condition in those cheerless and faceless manufacturing combines where people live and work like indentured servants or serfs. And we do not know what Bill Gates was shown or told during his official visit to China.

I imagine it was also before the Chinese provoked him for the serial violation of his copyrights. Funny how regulation and good government protects property from unbridled, unprincipled greed for the same people who abhor the protections it might also provide for their workers and customers.

And he was certainly not alone in his opinion at that time. Walmart was actually requiring their key suppliers to shift manufacturing to China to break the back of US labor for their stores, and engage a spiral of lower costs for a competitive advantage.

In the technology sector there was a mass migration to the big box factories with their wonderfully 'low medical and legal overheads.'

And I question how really 'new' this 'new capitalism' might be. It sounds quite a bit like the old British East India company to me, without the gin and tonics.

The neo-liberals economists were gung ho for this, and Clinton and his administration was smoothing the way for them, even before the arrival of Bush II on the scene, who delivered the coup de grace. By the way, remember that scandal involving large campaign contributions from official Chinese sources?

As I recall a certain number of venture capital firms made quite a bit of money encouraging that trend. And that has not stopped some of them from running for President. So one might not be hard at all on Bill.

But I did not appreciate his reported remarks about Opensource which I think is a marvelously capitalist free market force for the busting up of inefficient, overpriced, and underachieving software monopolies, which are too often only challenged by other would be monopolies.

This article struck a chord in me at the time, and I wanted to preserve it, and share it with you.

China has created brand-new form of capitalism: Bill Gates
Sat Jan 29, 2005 3:49 AM ET

DAVOS, Switzerland, (AFP) - US software giant Bill Gates (news - web sites) has high praise for China, which he says has created a brand-new form of capitalism that benefits consumers more than anything has in the past.

"It is a brand-new form of capitalism, and as a consumer its the best thing that ever happened," Gates told an informal meeting late Friday at the World Economic Forum (news - web sites) in this ski resort.

He characterised the Chinese model in terms of "willingness to work hard and not having quite the same medical overhead or legal overhead".

Manufacturers have created "scale economies that are just phenomenal", in part owing to companies there and elsewhere on the planet designing good products, Gates said.

Looking ahead, he added: "You know they haven't run out of labor yet, the portion that can come out of the agriculture sector" was still considerable.

"It's not like Korea, Korea got to a point where, boom, the wages went up a lot," he said, adding "that's good, you know, they got rich and now they have to add value at a different level.

"They're closer to the United States in that sense than they are to where China is right now."

Gates continued by heaping praise on the current generation of Chinese leaders.

"They're smart," he said with emphasis.

"They have this mericratic way of picking people for these government posts where you rotate into the university and really think about state allocation of resources and the welfare of the country and then you rotate back into some bureaucratic position."

That rotation continued, Gates explained, and leaders were constantly subjected to various kinds of ratings.

"This generation of leaders is so smart, so capable, from the top down, particularly from the top down," he concluded.

Gold Daily And Silver Weekly Charts - His Mills Grind Slow, But Exceedingly Fine


Today was gloom over Europe day, as concerns about European economic growth had stocks on the ropes, and a late day downgrade on the credit outlook for France had stocks selling off.

Traders are watching 1905 on the SP 500 cash very closely, because that is its 200 DMA. If we break it and don't bounce, the day after next could see a gap down open.

The Comex continues to be a showpiece, Madame Tussaud's on the Hudson, with little actual metal activity except for CNT which is providing bullion for the US government in their silver eagles sales, which are breaking records.

Jack Lew spoke to the IMF today, and had some hard words for Europe about doing things to stimulate aggregate demand.

Well considering that the Russia sanction which the US forced on Europe are hurting, and the austerity they imposed thanks to the massive control fraud perpetrated by the US based global Banks, I doubt the Europeans were taking his advice too well.

I might like to remind Jack that despite the lower unemployment rate that has the intelligentsia so mesmerized and happy, in fact the jobs being added are low wage, and overall the real median wage is falling.

In other words, Jack, unless you are one of the one percent, things do not look so good in the States either, and it is going to start showing through the threadbare sleeves of our real economy statistics beyond the accounting gimmicks.

I am keeping a very open mind on this, but to me the lower highs and lower lows that have been steadily hammering away at the precious metals are going to break down fairly soon, and the reaction might help us to forget some of the distasteful actions of our own guys in papering over their errors and missteps. And we ought not to forget. These half measures keep adding to the growing climate of moral hazard in the Western financial sector.
 
Party like its 1999
 
Here is an interesting article about IPOs and their financials.  Are we really at the threshold of a bubble?   I think we are beyond all that if you account for the real economy in this equation.
 
Let Wall Street tell us again that gold and silver are dodgy investments, but stocks and bond are such values?
 
Control frauds, leverage, counterparty risk, and other people's money, bitchez.   Mostly yours.

Have a pleasant weekend.
 
 
 




SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Pop Go the Weasels


The theme I struck that the record Alibaba IPO might strike a high watermark given the extreme ramp higher in stocks that the wiseguys provided to get that pig out at a high price is proving a little more credible now.

I did not look up the statistic, but I heard that the 25 or so IPOs that have come out since then have all sold weakly to lower in the secondary market, and several are lowering prices to even get them out the door.

The market was trading weakly most of the day. The algos and trade monkeys are looking hard at the cash SP 500 and its 200 Day Moving Average which is now around 1905. We *might* see support and a bounce there if they have it in them next week. But if not, the next day may see a gap down open and some cascade selling until we reach stronger support and a capitulation of sorts.

Another interesting statistic I saw today is that on average the stock market corrects about 15% over time after the Fed ends a QE program.

Hey, we're almost there!  At least in terms of the calendar.  The market have another ten or more percent to go. 

The talking heads are busily assuring mom and pop to stay fully invested. I own no stocks myself, except for a small position in a silver royalty play.

I have included the news for next week in the calendar below. As a reminder Friday is also a stock option expiration for October, so we will most likely see some shenanigans before and on that day.

Earnings season continues.  Tech was leading the way lower today, so lets see if tech can get its act together and provide a typical short covering rally which is typical of this thin, technically traded market.

Have a great weekend everyone.






S&P Cuts France's Sovereign Credit Outlook From 'Stable' to 'Negative'


The US equity markets, which had been trading weakly all day, turned decidedly south when this breaking news was released, to the minute.  I happened to see the flash headline, but the story did not appear generally in the news.

I think this merely demonstrates how skittish and thin the algo-dominated US stock markets really are.

As a reminder the US Bond markets are closed on Monday, but the stock markets will be open.

Reuters - France outlook revised to negative. AA ratings affirmed.

France ratings remain supported by view of French economy's high income per capita and productivity, diversification, and stable financial sector.

French government's budgetary position is deteriorating in light of France's constrained nominal and real economic growth prospects.

Negative outlook indicates view that robust recovery of French economy could prove elusive and public finances could deteriorate beyond 2014.