Are All G20 Bank Depositors Exposed to a Cyprus Style Seizure of Deposits for a 'Bail-in?'

Dave from Golden Truth has let me know of an interesting quote from an article by Eric Sprott titled Caveat Depositor which *could* explain why countries like New Zealand and Canada are quietly tilting towards seizing bank deposits to recapitalize failed banks.

"If there is a risk in a bank, our first question should be: ‘Ok, what are you the bank going to do about that? What can you do to recapitalise yourself?’ If the bank can’t do it, then we’ll talk to the shareholders and the bondholders. We’ll ask them to contribute in recapitalising the bank. And if necessary the uninsured deposit holders: ‘What can you do in order to save your own banks?’”

Jeroen Dijsselbloem, March 26, 2013

Apparently this template has already been agreed to by the G20 according to Dave.

"Because the use of taxpayer-funded bailouts would likely no longer be tolerated by the public, a new bank rescue plan was needed. As it turns out, this new "bail-in" model is based on an agreement that was the result of a bank bail-out model that was drafted by a sub-committee of the BIS (Bank for International Settlement) and endorsed at a G20 summit in 2011.

For those of you who don't know, the BIS is the global "Central Bank" of Central Banks. As such it is the world's most powerful financial institution. I sourced a copy of this Agreement here: LINK...

...the agreement references specifically avoiding more taxpayer bailouts. It also refers to bank deposits in excess of Government insured amounts as "uninsured creditors." This is essentially the standard legal bankruptcy model which uses creditor hierarchy (secured lenders, unsecured lenders, preferred equity, equity) and applies to the rescuing of banks.

This is very important to know about and understand because what is commonly referred to as a "bail-in" in Cyprus is actually a global bank rescue model that was derived and ratified nearly two years ago. It also means that bank deposits in excess of Government insured amounts in any bank in any country will be treated like unsecured debt if the bank goes belly-up and is restructured in some form.

Because this is a legal Central Banking agreement that will be applied globally, it also means that U.S. bank depositors will not be immune to this rescue mechanism. It means that no one should keep any amount in any bank that exceeds the FDIC guarantee. In fact, I would recommend only keeping enough money in the bank to fund your monthly or quarterly bill paying requirements. Any amount in excess of FDIC deposit insurance will be exposed to the risk bankruptcy."

You may read the entire article at Dave's blog Golden Truth.

I would assume that if Dave's reading of this document is correct, unless there is a specific and unequivocal denial by your local government Administration, then this is the operative plan for another series of bank failures in the G20 countries, including the US, Germany, France, Italy, and the UK.  This would explain how these stealthy depositor seizure plans have been bubbling up from diverse countries.

I would not be satisfied if there was merely a dismissal of the possibility, that Cyprus was somehow a 'special case' because of the way in which their banks were capitalized, and so heavy with deposits.  In the event of a global derivatives meltdown, no capital structure will stand, and no bank can maintain a so-called 'fortress balance sheet' while they are gambling wildly with speculative leverage on the side.

I do not wish to seem to be an alarmist, but this additional information and some of the other events which are occurring has created a rather significant shift in my thinking.  Cash is not cash and deposits are no longer deposits as we once thought of them in this non-transparent, post-Glass Steagall financial world of ours. 

Congratulations. You may now be an unsecured creditor of your local TBTF bank if your and yours have any money on deposit there, either directly or indirectly.    You say you have money in a pension fund and an IRA at XYZ bank?  Oops, it is really on deposit in you-know-who's bank.  You say you have money in a brokerage account?  Oops, it is really being held overnight in their TBTF bank.  Remember MF Global? 

Who can say how far the entanglements go?  The current financial system and market structure is crazy with hidden risk, insider dealings, control frauds, and subtle dangers.  Jim Chanos says that the  cheating is so widespread and unpunished that it becomes almost a fiduciary responsibility to break the rules.

 No wonder people are so edgy.  I think the plutocrats have gone too far, but are so detached and out of touch that they have not figured it out yet.  And when the awaking comes, it will be quite a surprise to many.

To my correspondents who say they have spoken to their elected representatives about this and received assurances, I would not assume that they are aware of this international agreement which the US has presumably signed.  I was not.

And if you think they will stand up against any plans to take your deposits during a banking emergency, against a vociferous and overwhelming flood of objections from their constituents, remember how quickly the Congress caved on TARP and Cyprus' Parliament gave way to the EU and ECB.

Welcome to the abyss.

A Message From the Banking and Brokerage System

"At this late stage in the history of American capitalism I'm not sure I know how much testimony still needs to be presented to establish the relation between profit and theft."

Lewis H. Lapham


"In an oligarchy, private ownership is merely a concept, subject to interpretation and confiscation."

Jesse, Trustee to Seize and Liquidate Even the 'Stored' Customer Gold and Silver Bullion From MF Global

No comment about the bank notice below is necessary for those who understand what this means. And if one does not understand it at this point, no comment is sufficient.

Paper currency held in a bank is not a 'risk free' asset. To the contrary, it is like walking around with a very large and willfully powerful counterparty that has one hand in your pocket.  And in troubled times, a 'warehouse receipt' or a line item on a bank account statement held in another country is little more than another piece of paper.

And in the case of 'digital money' they do not even have to have a hand in your pocket.  They hold everything, all your savings, up front, and you have to apply for your money at a window, where they determine how much you may have.  And that window can be closed anytime at will.

They take your wealth, pay you almost nothing for it, and then offer you protection, with limits, from themselves.

The deregulation of banks and the overturn of Glass-Steagall was intended to create a license to steal, by design.  Hundreds of millions were spent in a decade long effort lobbying for it. These were the protections that were given to us, and fought for by our fathers and grandfathers.  And we squandered away that wisdom, having unlearned the lessons of the past.

This is predatory financial capitalism and modern monetary theory unrestrained by the rule of law and transparency.  This is the lesson from Cyprus, and of MF Global.  And it is no different in the US or UK, except in the matter of time and degree.    None are safe where there is no justice for all.

And the financial sociopaths and their enablers have no limit to their greed,  no sense of boundaries, and certainly no shame.  

The Banks must be restrained, and the financial system reformed, with balance restored to the economy, before there can be any sustainable recovery.

It's Risk Back On as Sources Cite Draft Deal on Cyprus - Heavy Losses for Large Depositors

The futures are rallying on this news.

I find it interesting that gold is also higher with stocks.

Now that is a bit different.

It *could* just be a correlation with the euro rally.

Let's see if this lasts.

Postscript: Here are some details of the arrangement.

Reuters
Cyprus and EU agree on draft proposal to rescue banks
BRUSSELS | Sun Mar 24, 2013 8:05pm EDT

(Reuters) - Cyprus, the European Union and the International Monetary Fund have agreed a new plan to resolve the island's bank and finance a rescue of the country, an EU official said early on Monday.

The proposal, which will now be presented to euro zone finance ministers for discussion, will involve setting up a "good bank" and a "bad bank" and will mean that Popular Bank of Cyprus, known as Laiki, will effectively be shut down.

Deposits below 100,000 euros in Laiki will be transferred to Bank of Cyprus. Deposits above 100,000 euros, which under EU law are not insured, will be frozen and will be used to resolve debt. It remains unclear how large the writedown on those funds will be.

The EU spokesman said there would be no "levy" imposed on any Cypriot banks, with the package requiring a full "bail-in" of uninsured depositors, which is likely to mean heavy losses for those with large holdings in Laiki and potentially Bank of Cyprus, where many Russians hold bank accounts.

(Reporting by Annika Breidthardt and Jan Strupczewski; Writing by Luke Baker)

Modern Money: A Study In Confidence and Crisis

"Those who think there is little risk of a levy being imposed on other periphery members are missing the point. The seeds of doubt have been planted. As a saver facing zero yields on deposits and a potential haircut, why keep your savings in a bank? Sure it is convenient for electronic transactions, but individuals can adapt easily. As one of my more amusing colleagues put it, 'mattresses now hold a 10 per cent premium.'"

Ben Davies, Cyprus, Oh the Irony!


"Making small-scale savers pay is extremely dangerous. It will shake the trust of depositors across the Continent. Europe's citizens now have to fear for their money...

The Spaniards, Italians and Portuguese may not run to the banks today or tomorrow, but as soon as the crisis intensifies in a euro-zone country, the bank customers will remember Cyprus. They will withdraw their money and, by doing so, intensify the crisis."

Peter Bofinger, 'Europe's Citizens Now Have to Fear for Their Money,'  Der Spiegel, 18 March 2013

Modern money is a game of confidence, an arrangement based wholly on the perception of value founded in counterparty risk.

This sounds easy enough, but what is surprising is how few people really understand it. This is due to the illusion of the familiar.

We are so accustomed to using money in our daily lives that we give little thought to what it really is.  It seems solid, immutable, and lasting.  'As sound as a dollar.'

We forget that money, like much of society, is a man-made, artificial construction based on a series of agreements. Sometimes those agreements are based on implied force, such as punishment for breaking the laws. But by and large the enforcement is not equipped to deal with all but the outliers to a general compliance with the law. This is, of course, the basis of the power of civil disobedience, and why autocracies are so sensitive to any mass demonstrations of dissent.

The President of Cyprus, Nicos Anastasiades, recently elected from the conservative DISY party, blanched at the original bailout deal offered by the troika, the European Commission, the European Central Bank, and the International Monetary Fund, to assess a levy only on the non-guaranteed deposits in the troubled Greek banks, which are those deposits in excess of €100,000.

He proposed instead to limit the levy on large deposits to 9.9%, and to make up the difference by violating what had been the general guarantee in Europe by assessing a lesser amount, of about 6.7%, on the 'guaranteed deposits' of less than €100,000 by small savers.  That the troika did not blanch at the prospect of violating what had been a generally established EU policy to ensure bank stability speaks volumes about their cravenness.

The arrangement was made all the more clever by promising equity in the (worthless) banks in return for the levy, and perhaps even a guarantee of return based on 'future natural gas discoveries' which seem to be of much less value to the EU and the government.

This was one of their conditions for a €10 billion loan to the government under the European Stability Mechanism (ESM). The other involved the usual austerity measures, which are a favorite of the International Monetary Fund.

The austerity proposal had been revealed last November and include cuts in civil service salaries, social benefits, allowances and pensions and increases in VAT, tobacco, alcohol and fuel taxes, taxes on lottery winnings, property, and higher public health care charges.

The troika did not care about the details of the levy as long as the 'bail in' by depositor funds occurred. This was a sacrifice of a general European principle and was a serious policy error.

When this 'levy' on bank deposits was revealed over the weekend during a bank holiday, because it had to be submitted to a vote by the Cypriot Parliament, there was a general revulsion expressed amongst the markets and the people of Cyprus at such blatant misuse of the money power.

Monetary inflation, such as had been used in the US and UK, is more often used because so few people see their loss as blatantly as when the government simply confiscates 10 percent of their wealth on deposit. It is much easier done in smaller amounts, over longer periods of time. But one needs to have their own currency to do it.  These days monetary policy and inflation is merely the continuation of bank fraud and plunder by other means.

By the way, this is why I thought the 'platinum coin' of a notional and whimsical trillion dollars in value was such an awful, dangerously cynical idea. It exposed the farce of monetary inflation in too great an amount, in too short a period of time, in a way in which too many people would readily understand it.  And it therefore had the potential of fomenting a money panic.

Cyprus had been reasonably stable before the financial collapse, but was rocked by the Greek bond restructuring. What dealt a fatal blow was the impediment to borrowing because of a credit downgrade to BB+, which made the Cypriot bonds unacceptable as collateral to the ECB, and certainly not viable on the public markets.

And like many small, warm weather island nations, it's economy was overly dependent on tourism, retirement, and an outsized financial sector. Since Cyprus had been a British crown colony, its legal system resembles that of Britain, which still maintains significant military bases on the island, involving approximately 3,500 serving members.

Cyprus is in a bit of a box, because it really needs to leave the Eurozone and default on its obligations, and issue a currency of its own at a devaluation to the euro. But how would they recapitalize their banks, and what would the basis be for any reasonable valuation on this new currency?

If Cyprus owned gold reserves, or even forex reserves of some stable currency, they could make this the basis of their currency, while imposing capital controls. They could liquidate, nationalize if you will, the banks, and keep the depositors whole. Although the conversion to the new Cyprus currency would be a haircut of sorts, and likely impair their banking haven status.

Iceland was able to do something like this, and so was Russia for that matter, when they defaulted, devalued, and reissued the rouble back in the 1990's.

What would the Eurozone say if Cyprus forged a deal with Russia and provided them with military bases similar to the Sovereign Base Areas, currently occupied by the British, in return for a Russian bailout? Russia is a key debtholder and a major stakeholder in Cyprus. Their interests and presence must be dealt with, and carefully.

The question of Cyprus is important, not because it is a large and significant portion of the Eurozone economy. It is most certainly not, being much less than one percent of the total.

Rather, Cyprus is showing the fatal flaws in the conception of the Eurozone, and their single currency without real fiscal union, transfer payments, a common system of taxation, and a banker of last resort.

And it has also demonstrated the weakness of the guarantees by the bureaucrats, not only in Europe but elsewhere, when it comes to money. 

This is a lesson that every central banker around the world should keep in mind.  And the bureaucrats should remember that there is a step beyond which they may go, which will shatter the confidence of the people.  And once that confidence is broken, it is very hard to recover it.

There is one lesson I hope that the people of the world take away from this.  And that is to remember that a single currency is not possible without a complete union of monetary policy, and therefore a fiscal and political union that is complete and comprehensive.  Otherwise a powerful group will wield monetary policy for their own benefit, and the rest of the currency area be damned.

When the single world currency proponents come around again with their proposals, what they are really proposing is a one world government to be established in the ensuing crisis which their actions will eventually provoke.

And despite the consistent capping of the precious metal markets, it demonstrates that there is only one money of last resort, that provides for no counterparty risk.  And that is gold.  And to a lesser extent the reserve currency of the world, which for now is the dollar. 

It is confidence that sustains the integrity of a system based on counterparty risk,  and it is that confidence that supports modern money.  And where confidence declines, force is required.  And where both force and faith fail, a break in confidence happens, and hyperinflation ensues. Hyperinflation is not simply a very high level of inflation.

A hyperinflation is a break in confidence, a monetary panic.

And in what is certainly a bit of historic irony, the German people are once again flirting with bank failures and a hyperinflation.  But in this case it is because they, in their righteous indignation, are imposing the same kind of collective punishment, in terms and conditions of economic austerity and privation on others, that were imposed on them in post war reparation.  Oh the irony, indeed.

Spring is in the air.  Plus ça change, plus c'est la même chose.

Related: New Zealand Adopts 'Cyprus style' Levies to Protect Their Banks From Insolvency