04 March 2010

Russia Continues to Build Its Gold Reserves Ahead of the SDR Discussions


Thanks to Dave at Golden Truth for this updated chart.



As you know, Russia, India, China and some of the BRIC-like countries will continue to push hard for a gold and silver content in the new formulation of the SDR this year. The US and UK are vehemently opposed.

Europe is still wallowing in confusion and is virtually leaderless, as the most recent financial crisis in Greece shows. This may not be all bad, because it highlights the weaknesses in their union, and gives them the incentive to take it to the next step.

One cannot have a common currency with uncommon fiscal policies and laws. While there is some room for discretion, it is sorely tried in changing economic conditions and social attitudes. America went through a bloody Civil War for this reason.

This is why a one world currency, except for international trade only and at the discretion of trading partners, is so dangerous. One cannot maintain their sovereign freedom when someone else controls the supply of their money: either you cheat or you submit. All serious economists understand this; too few of the voting public do.

What Will the World Currency Become? The Stakes Are Enormous

And the Winner Is...the SDR?

This is the fallacy of the US dollar as the reserve currency for the world. It 'worked' as even Mr. Greenspan noted, as long as the US dollar was able to demonstrate the objective stability of an external gold standard relative to other currencies. That lasted for a few years, and the rest is foreign policy and currency wars. The time for its replacement is long past. The BRIC's understand this, and are playing their hands accordingly.

If one submits to a single world or regional currency for domestic use, they may as well take their constitutions and individual rights and throw them away. And globalization has been serving as a proxy for this, paving the way.

Gold and Economic Freedom: Did Greenspan Know What He Was Doing? - ZeroHedge

The moves here are slow and subtle, since great nations are involved. I get the impression, though, that most traders are playing checkers at a chess match. Well, that works for the daytrade. But only time will tell what will happen, and when. But sometimes events can break free and move quickly. Best to gather those nickles off the freeway before the rush hour commences.

Or as the man behind the .50 cal would say, 'Git some. Come git some.'

Net Asset Value and Premiums for Certain Precious Metals Trusts and Funds


I have added an estimate of the Sprott Physical Gold Fund.

The discounts on GLD and SLV are signalling some short selling going on as they are expanded above the mean.

The premiums on GTU and CEF indicate some optimism.

In addition, the miners are being hit today with profit taking and possible short selling.

Volatility ahead, and will most likely key off tomorrow's US Non-Farm Payrolls Report



I would not limit this quote below from Orwell to political thinking. I believe it motivates and explains most statements from analysts and economists, and of course, the vast majority of postings on the average internet chatboard. Truth is in short supply, and honest governance is an endangered species. We should all be wary of our own vulnerability to self-deception and the subtle temptations of the offered illusions of the unscrupulous.

In other words, grab something solid and hang on. lol.

"All political thinking for years past has been vitiated in the same way. People can foresee the future only when it coincides with their own wishes,
and the most grossly obvious facts can be ignored when they are unwelcome." George Orwell

03 March 2010

Sprott Has Purchased About 9 Tonnes of Gold Bullion This Week


The Sprott Physical Bullion Trust (PHYS) is now holding 286,870 ounces of gold, with a market value of $327,003,510. The estimated net proceeds of their IPO are approximately $390,000,000, possibly higher depending on total fees for the IPO and initial bullion purchases.

They have now purchased 8.923 tonnes of gold bullion since last Friday (at 32,150.746 Troy ounces per metric tonne).

The total units outstanding are 40,000,000 for a Net Asset Value of 9.50 including cash and bullion. With the price of the Trust closing at 9.96 today, it is at about 4.85% premium according to their website.

By way of comparison, the Central Gold Trust (GTU) closed at a premium of 8.2%. This is on the high side, reflecting gold's recent run higher, and a flight to safety over recent concerns regarding sovereign debt. Gold has reached record prices in the euro and the British pound.

It will be interesting if we can see identify the drawdowns in the inventories that sourced this gold, wherever they may be. There are those who contend that the supply is coming from the unallocated inventories of bullion banks who are engaging in a kind of 'fractional reserve' gold selling to their customers.
If Your Gold Is at an LBMA Bank, You May Be Just an Unsecured Creditor by Adrian Douglas.

Let's see if the price of spot holds its levels after this unusual level of bullion purchasing in what is reputed to be a tight market.