11 September 2014

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Like a Land War In Asia


There was the usual London-New York hit applied to the precious metals earlier this morning. Nothing new in that.

There was a bit of a bounce into the close for gold, and some action in the mining stocks as well.

Shown below are the Comex reports for both gold and silver for yesterday. I thought it was funny that more gold contracts were stopped than for silver.  But this is the active month for silver and not for gold! 

Not that even that factoid means anything. Watching the Comex these days is like watching the magicians beautiful assistant move the boxes around on stage, while the magician executives his sleight of hand undetected.

The real markets for precious metals have moved overseas. The West is fighting a holding action in a currency war of attrition. It must be like fighting a land war in Asia. You roll out your best shock and awe, complete with media fanfare, over and over. But they are gaining ground little by little. 

I know, let's flatten our own markets and their economic integrity back to the stone age of rigged prices and perpetual fraud, executed by and for the very few while the domestic public staggers.  That will show them who's in charge: until exhaustion of lies, or the collapse of force.

Have a pleasant evening.





SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Stick Save In Pigland


Stocks were wobbly for most of the day as the US administration is once again beating the drums of endless war.

And it did not help that the economic numbers this morning came in a bit weakly, with initial unemployment claims a bit on the high side.

But these daily numbers do not mean all that much. What is of much more concern is the instability in the world, that I would suggest is an artifact of the 'currency war.'

And of course the currency war is almost beyond a doubt one manifestation of the impulse of the North Atlantic elite political power structure's attempt to make this 'the Anglo-American Century.'  

The pampered classes have lost their grip on the traditional colonial empire, and seem to be seeking to maintain and recreate it in a broader, more financialized guise.

Let's see how this works itself out.

Have a pleasant evening.





10 September 2014

Wednesday Evening: Hymn In a German Train Station


"Here, in an ordinary train station in Wuppertal, Germany, the group Árstíðir began singing the Icelandic hymn “Heyr himna smiður”. 

The hymn — the oldest known Scandinavian hymn — dates back to the early 13th century when the Icelandic chieftain Kolbeinn Tumason is purported to have written these familiar words on his deathbed. Then, more than seven centuries later, the composer Þorkell Sigurbjörnsson put them to music."


This is what only six voices together can do.




Hear, Smith of the heavens.
The poet seeketh.
In thy still small voice
Mayest thou show grace.
As I call on thee,
Thou my creator.
I am thy servant,
Thou art my true Lord.

God, I call on thee;
For thee to heal me.
Bid me, prince of peace,
Thou my supreme need.
Ever I need thee,
Generous and great,
Over all human woe,
City of thy heart.

Guard me, my savior.
Ever I need thee,
Through every moment
In this world so wide.
Virgin–born, send me
Noble motives now.
Aid cometh from thee,
To my deepest heart.

 

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Do Something


There was intraday commentary on the moral hazard of applying selective justice to the TBTF Banks here.

I recommend that you read it. And if you find what it says to be useful, perhaps you might consider giving it a wider audience as you can here and there.

You might consider doing it with other things from like-minded people that you find to be useful. It is a little thing to do, but it is something and better than nothing. Others use donations which are appropriate for their own situations and efforts, and you might wish to consider supporting them in this even if it is in a small way.  You may not be able to stand up and speak, but you can provide some small comfort and support for those that do.   

And as for us, remember me in your prayers, as I will remember you.  The need is great and will be greater.  This is our currency, and it has no other counterparty but the Lord.

Have a pleasant evening






SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Bubblicious


There is a surprising amount of open endorsement of the necessity of 'asset bubbles' coming from Wall Street shills and establishment economists.

As you know, a bubble represents a mispricing of risk. It is often used as a means of creating and redistributing wealth, generally from the gullible many to crafty insiders and the wealthy.

At best, a bubble *could* function as a means of top down stimulus, most likely not a generally effective stimulus, if one overlooks the immorality of theft through fraud.

But even top down stimulus itself is a form of control fraud, because it represents diluting the wealth of the nation in order to give it to the wealthy one percent.

What a brave new world, that has such creatures in it.  And how easily they accept the illicit perks of privilege.

Have a pleasant evening.





Moral Hazard: The Abysmal Failure of the Doctrine Of Selective Justice For Finance


Moral Hazard - In economic theory, a moral hazard is a situation in which a party is more likely to take risks because the costs that could result will not be borne by the party taking the risk. In other words, it is a tendency to be more willing to take a risk, knowing that the potential costs or burdens of taking such risk will be borne, in whole or in part, by others. A moral hazard may occur where the actions of one party may change to the detriment of another after a financial transaction has taken place.

Wikipedia says that Economist Paul Krugman described moral hazard as "any situation in which one person makes the decision about how much risk to take, while someone else bears the cost if things go badly."

Moral hazard is not only the misallocation of risk, but the mispricing of risk without significant consequences as well.  This also speaks to the misallocation of risk. As in a bubble.

In our most recent financial crisis we saw both the mispricing of risk in the initial collateralized debt obligations that fed the housing price bubble, and in the aftermath, where much of the consequences of the ensuing financial crisis were allocated to the taxpayers after the fact and without an explicit prior agreement to do so, under duress.

A rather sophistic defense of that approach and subsequent policy was provided by Larry Summers who in September of 2007 wrote an article entitled Beware of Moral Hazard Fundamentalists:
"In the financial arena the spectre of moral hazard is invoked to oppose policies that reduce the losses of financial institutions that have made bad decisions. In particular, it is used to caution against creating an expectation that there will be future 'bail-outs'."
As an aside, when I saw the new 'reform President' bringing in Timothy Geithner, Hank Paulsen, and Larry Summers to key posts in his administration, I suspected that the people's mandate for reform had been deflected, although there was the prior example of FDR bringing in Joe Kennedy to spearhead the SEC.  But, alas, Obama quickly turned out to be no Franklin Roosevelt, but a loyal member of the Wall Street wing of the Democratic Party.

And here we are, SEVEN years later. Forget 'future bailouts.' We have what seems to be never-ending bailouts, and subsidies, and special arrangements, and deals benefiting Wall Street, to the detriment of almost everyone else.

Here is a video of Senator Elizabeth Warren from yesterday's testimony in a hearing chaired by Senator Tim Johnson (D-SD) “Wall Street Reform: Assessing and Enhancing the Financial Regulatory System.”  

She begins by questioning Fed Governor Daniel Tarullo.  As you may recall, the Fed is one of the primary banking regulators, acquiring even more and broader regulatory powers in the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis.

Her second question about the TBTF Banks and failure resolutions goes to FDIC Chair Martin J. Greenberg.

Near the end is a long statement/question from Senator Richard Shelby of Alabama. 

I bring this to light, in order to respond to those who say that the banking system has already been reformed.   It has not.

It is only 11 minutes in length and is worth watching. You can see it in its entirety here.

Special thanks go to Pam Martens for bringing these quotes to light in her excellent article, Jamie Dimon Gets $8.5 Million Raise for Illegal Conduct at JPM. I had not yet found a proper transcript. Pam's articles are consistently timely and of high content value.

“As Judge Rakoff of the Southern District of New York has noted, the law on this is clear. No corporation can break the law unless an individual within that corporation broke the law. (unlike some recent delusions from the Supreme court about the inalienable rights of soulless, disembodied Corporations which are constructs merely of common law with no superior claim to a higher authority equal to an individual's rights - Jesse)

Yet, despite the misconduct at these banks that generated tens of billions of dollars in settlement payments by the companies, not a single senior executive at these banks has been criminally prosecuted. Now, I know that your agencies can’t bring prosecutions directly, but you’re supposed to refer cases to the Justice Department when you think individuals should be prosecuted. So, can you tell me how many senior executives at these three banks you have referred to the Justice Department for prosecution?...

After the savings and loan crisis in the 1970s and 1980s, the government brought over a thousand criminal prosecutions and got over 800 convictions. The FBI opened nearly 5,500 criminal investigations because of referrals from banking investigators and regulators.

The main reason we punish illegal behavior is for deterrence; to make sure that the next banker who’s thinking about breaking the law remembers that a guy down the hall was hauled out of here in handcuffs when he did that.

These civil settlements don’t provide deterrence. The shareholders for the company pay the settlement; senior management doesn’t pay a dime. And, in fact, if you’re like Jamie Dimon, the CEO of JPMorgan Chase, you might even get an $8.5 million raise for negotiating such a great settlement when your company breaks the law.

So, without criminal prosecution, the message to every Wall Street banker is loud and clear: if you break the law you are not going to jail, but you might end up with a much bigger paycheck.

No one should be above the law. If you steal a hundred bucks on Main Street, you’re probably going to jail. If you steal a billion bucks on Wall Street, you darn well better go to jail too.”